Research Article

Forecasting Civil Aviation Incident Rate in China Using a Combined Prediction Model

Table 2

The prediction and fitting data of the power function regression model.

YearsActual dataForecast dataErrorAccuracy

20080.3030.342−0.03987.13%
20090.3240.357−0.03389.81%
20100.3840.3730.01197.14%
20110.4110.3890.02294.65%
20120.4770.4060.07185.12%
20130.4370.4240.01397.03%
20140.4240.443−0.01995.52%
20150.4630.4620.00199.78%
20160.5470.4830.06488.30%
20170.5540.5040.0590.97%
20180.4920.526−0.03493.09%
20190.4630.549−0.08681.43%