Forecasting Civil Aviation Incident Rate in China Using a Combined Prediction Model

Table 3

The prediction and fitting data of the Grey Verhulst model.

Years	Actual data	Forecast data	Error	Accuracy
2008	0.303	0.303	0	100%
2009	0.324	0.337	−0.013	96.14%
2010	0.384	0.369	−0.015	96.09%
2011	0.411	0.397	0.014	96.59%
2012	0.477	0.421	0.056	88.26%
2013	0.437	0.441	0.004	99.09%
2014	0.424	0.457	−0.033	92.78%
2015	0.463	0.47	−0.007	98.51%
2016	0.547	0.48	0.067	87.75%
2017	0.554	0.488	0.066	88.09%
2018	0.492	0.494	−0.002	99.60%
2019	0.463	0.499	−0.036	92.79%