Research Article

Forecasting Civil Aviation Incident Rate in China Using a Combined Prediction Model

Table 6

The prediction and fitting data of the combined prediction model.

YearsActual dataForecast dataAccuracy

20080.3030.303100.00%
20090.3240.31697.53%
20100.3840.37397.14%
20110.4110.42496.84%
20120.4770.45896.02%
20130.4370.44199.08%
20140.4240.44395.52%
20150.4630.46299.78%
20160.5470.49690.68%
20170.5540.53195.85%
20180.4920.49499.59%
20190.4630.48695.03%