Research Article

Real-Time Return Demand Prediction Based on Multisource Data of One-Way Carsharing Systems

Table 1

Characteristic variables and symbols.

CategoryVariablesSymbolsExamples

Station setWhether the station () in the current trajectory point’s station set () belongs to the stations where the user has picked up vehicleswhetherO1
Whether the station () in the current trajectory point’s station set () belongs to the stations where the user has returned vehicleswhetherD1

Driving mileageCurrent track length + 15 min mileage > user’s historical minimum mileagewhetherLumin1
Current track length + 15 min mileage user’s historical maximum mileagewhetherLumax1
User historical average mileageLuave27.26 km
User historical median mileageLumedian25.53 km
Current track length+15 min mileage > minimum mileage of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointwhetherLuomin1
Current track length+15 min mileagemaximum mileage of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointwhetherLuomax1
The historical average mileage of user’s order with the same starting pointLuoave27.56 km
Historical median mileage of user’s order with the same starting pointLuomedian26.77 km
Current track length + 15 min mileageLaddR20.15 km

Driving durationCurrent travel duration+15 min > user’s historical minimum travel durationwhetherTumin1
Current travel duration+15minuser’s historical maximum travel durationwhetherTumax1
Current travel duration+15 min> the 15th percentile of the user’s historical travel durationwhetherTuq151
Current travel duration+15minthe 85th percentile of the user’s historical travel durationwhetherTuq851
User historical average driving durationTuave15.10 min
User historical median driving durationTumedian14.70 min
Current travel duration+15 min > minimum travel duration of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointwhetherTuomin1
Current travel duration+15 min maximum travel duration of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointwhetherTuomax1
Current travel duration+15 min> the 15th percentile of travel duration of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointwhetherTuoq151
Current travel duration+15 min the 85th percentile of travel duration of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointwhetherTuoq851
User average driving duration of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointTuoave14.32 min
User median driving duration of the user’s historical order with the same starting pointTuomedian15.22 min
Current travel duration+15 minTadd1516 min

EAPPA user opened the APP within 15 minutes before returning the vehicle in historyAPP0

Destination stationThe number of all users’ historical orders whose destination station can be matched with station () in the station set ()Dordernum1
The proportion of all users’ historical orders whose destination station can be matched with station () in the station set ()Dorderfre0.2
The minimum time difference between the order duration of all users’ historical orders whose destination station can be matched with station () in the station set () and the current trajectory duration ()DdetminT3.3 min
The number of the user’s historical orders whose destination station can be matched with station () in the station set ()UDordernum4
The proportion of the user’ historical orders whose destination station can be matched with station () in the station set ()UDorderfre0.25
The minimum time difference between the order duration of the user’s historical orders whose destination station can be matched with station () in the station set () and the current trajectory duration ()UDdetminT4.1 min

Pick-up station and destination stationThe number of all users’ historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set ()ODordernum2
The proportion of all users’ historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set ()ODorderfre0.1
The minimum time difference between the order duration of all users’ historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set () and the current trajectory duration ()ODdetminT6.3 min
The number of the user’ historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set ()UODordernum2
The proportion of the user’ historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set ()UODorderfre0.05
The minimum time difference between the order duration of the user’s historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set () and the current trajectory duration ()UODdetminT5.5 min
The trajectory difference between the order duration of the user’s historical orders whose starting station is the same as the current trajectory’s starting point and destination station can be matched with a station () in the station set () and the current trajectory duration ()DiffOD0.58