Studying the Simultaneous Effect of Autonomous Vehicles and Distracted Driving on Safety at Unsignalized Intersections

Table 7

The sensitivity analysis of potential accident number for each demand scenario compared to the real-world scenario at the Vesal intersection.

		Uncrowded			Overcrowded
AV scenario	PAN for real-world	PAN	Change rate (%)	value	PAN	Change rate (%)	value
2020	285.8	76	−276	0.000	449.9	57	0.0006
2030	250.4	73.5	−241	0.000	286.4	14	0.102
2035	206.1	58.2	−254	0.0001	248.2	20	0.0209
2040	166.9	45.4	−268	0.0002	171.5	3	0.6548
2045	114.8	26.2	−338	0.001	113	−2	0.8549
2050	114.1	21	−443	0.0002	100.3	−12	0.1898