Cancer Incidence in Egypt: Results of the National Population-Based Cancer Registry Program

Table 10

Estimated cancer incidence in the period 2013–2050 and causes of increase.

	2013	2015	2020	2025	2050
Estimated population	85294388 (100%)	88487396 (103.7%)	96260017 (112.9%)	103742157 (121.6%)	137872522 (161.6%)
Number of cases^#1	114985	122783 (106.8%)	144255 (125.5%)	168723 (146.7%)	331169 (288.0%)
Increased cases from 2013^#2		7798 (6.8%)	29270 (25.5%)	53738 (46.7%)	216184 (188.0%)
Increased cases due to population growth^#3		4303	14783	24869	70880
Increased cases due to population structure change^#4		3494	14487	28869	145304
% Increase due to population growth^#5		55.20%	50.50%	46.28%	32.79%

N.B.
^#1Number of expected cases depending on 2013 rates of incidence.
^#2Number of increased cases from 2013 number of cases.
^#3Number of increased cases (from 2013) that is attributed to increase in population number (population growth).
^#4Number of increased cases (from 2013) that is attributed to change in population structure (aging of population) and not to population growth.
^#5Percent of increased number of cases (from 2013) that can be attributed to population growth only (not due to change in population structure).