climat main environment driver determin spatial distribut most tree speci continent scale investig distribut chang european beech norway spruce due climat chang appli speci distribut model sdm driven ensembl 21 region climat model order studi shift favour distribut speci sdms were parameter 19712000 well 20212050 20712100 use sres scenario a1b three physiolog meaning climat variabl grow degre sum precipit sum were calcul grow season basi daili data result show general northeastern altitudin shift climatolog favour both speci although shift more mark spruce the gain new favour site north alps stronger beech compar spruce uncertainti express varianc averag map densiti function uncertainti speci distribut increas over time this studi demonstr import data ensembl show how deal differ outcom order improv impact studi show uncertainti result map

Wolfgang Falk

Nils Hempelmann

Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change: A Case Study for <i>Fagus sylvatica</i> L. and <i>Picea abies</i> (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models

the reconstruct period signal embed nois veri import task mani applic this alreadi difficult task even more complex when some observ miss some present irregular time kolmogorovzurbenko filtrat welldevelop method offer solut problem one section paper provid exampl veri precis reconstruct multipl period signal cover high level nois nois level make those signal invis within origin data the abil reconstruct signal from noisi data appli numer reconstruct tidal wave atmospher pressur the exist wave prove wellknown naturalist chapman due high synopt fluctuat atmospher pressur unabl numer reproduc wave reconstruct atmospher tidal wave reveal potenti intensif wind speed dure hurrican which could increas danger impos hurrican due period structur atmospher tidal wave predict time space which import inform predict excess forc develop hurrican

Igor G. Zurbenko

Amy L. Potrzeba-Macrina

Periods of Excess Energy in Extreme Weather Events

dataset 23 deriv indic has been compil clarifi whether frequenc rainfal temperatur extrem has chang over last decad djibouti citi eastern africa result show all precipit indic have declin over last decad although onli veri wet day frequenc veri wet day proport present signific declin annual total precipit has decreas 174 per decad from 1980 2011 recent mean year rainfal 44 averag from 2007 2011 meet 73 deficit compar 30year 19812010 averag 164 the averag temperatur increas 028 per decadeextrem warm day maximum temperatur 450 have becom 15 time more frequent than pastwhil extrem cool night minimum temperatur 86 have almost disappear current rainfal shortag increas temperatur extrem impact local peopl who urgent need adapt strategi

Pierre Ozer

Ayan Mahamoud

Recent Extreme Precipitation and Temperature Changes in Djibouti City (1966&#x2013;2011)

longterm 45 year diversifi surfac meteorolog record from thumba equatori rocket launch station terls india were collect analys studi longterm chang overal climatolog climatolog pertain particular observ time mean daili climatolog temperatur interannu variabl temperatur interannu variabl surfac pressur rainfal main indian season south west north east monsoon interannu mean month anomali structur temperatur result various analys show strong vivid featur contribut climat chang south peninsular indian arabian sea coastal station paper may first time ventur which discuss climat chang impart perturb sever meteorolog paramet differ time domain like specif time daili month interannu over station be coastal rocket launch station climat chang inform crucial longterm plan it facil well various rocket rang oper demand

K. V. S. Namboodiri

P. K. Dileep

Koshy Mammen

Climatic Variation at Thumba Equatorial Rocket Launching Station, India

tempor variabl three differ temperatur time seri compar use statist model time seri the three temperatur time seri repres same physic process differ level spatial averag temperatur from point measur from region baltan65 from global era40 reanalys the first order integr averag model ima 0 1 1 use compar tempor variabl time seri the appli ima 0 1 1 model divis sum random walk white nois compon where varianc both white nois one them serv generat random walk comput from paramet fit model this approach enabl compar model fit independ origin restor seri use two new paramet this oper add certain new method analysi nonstationari seri

Piia Post

Olavi Kärner

Time Series Analysis: A New Methodology for Comparing the Temporal Variability of Air Temperature

efficienc evalu chang point detect method use nine major objectiv homogen method dohms present the evalu conduct use ten differ simul dataset four effici measur detect skill skill linear trend estim sum squar error combin effici measur test dataset appli have divers set inhomogen characterist includ one dataset similar month benchmark temperatur dataset european benchmark effort known acronym cost home the perform dohms high depend characterist test dataset effici measur measur skill differ mark accord frequenc mean durat inhomogen vari ratio ihmagnitud background nois the studi focus case when high qualiti relat time seri differ between candid refer seri can creat frequenc intens inhomogen high result show case caussinusmestr method most effect although appreci good result can also achiev use sever other dohms multipl analysi seri homogenis bay method multipl linear regress standard normal homogen test

Peter Domonkos

Efficiencies of Inhomogeneity-Detection Algorithms: Comparison of Different Detection Methods and Efficiency Measures

the relationship between dust episod over cyprus specif synopt pattern has long been consid also further support recent studi author have defin dust episod day when averag pm10 measur exceed threshold 50 3 day author have util artifici neural network synopt chart togeth satellit ground measur order establish scheme which link specif synopt pattern appear dust transport over cyprus effort understand better complic synopticscal phenomena associ dust transport episod author attempt present paper followup previous task object further investig dust episod from point view time trend the result have shown tendenc synopt situat favor dust event increas last decad wherea synopt situat favor event tend decreas time

S. Michaelides

F. Tymvios

S. Athanasatos

M. Papadakis

Trends of Dust Transport Episodes in Cyprus Using a Classification of Synoptic Types Established with Artificial Neural Networks

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Journal of Climatology