Research Article

Predictive Ability of Visit-to-Visit Variability of HbA1c Measurements for the Development of Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Retrospective Longitudinal Observational Study

Table 3

Association of the risk of microalbuminuria and eGFR stage progression with continuous variables of visit-to-visit variability of HbA1c, measured as 4 indices using a Cox proportional hazards model.

IndexIncidence of microalbuminuriaeGFR stage progression from G1eGFR stage progression from G2eGFR stage progression from G3
HR (95% CI)a valueHR (95% CI)a valueHR (95% CI)a valueHR (95% CI)a value

HbA1c-SD1.18 (1.01-1.37)0.0331.23 (1.06-1.43)0.0081.09 (0.86-1.37)0.4831.09 (0.73-1.61)0.675
HbA1c-CV1.17 (1.03-1.34)0.0191.21 (1.05-1.39)0.0081.09 (0.89-1.33)0.4001.09 (0.77-1.53)0.634
HbA1c-AUC1.20 (1.03-1.40)0.0191.22 (1.05-1.42)0.0101.09 (0.84-1.43)0.5091.04 (0.67-1.62)0.848
HbA1c-HVS1.00 (0.85-1.17)0.9521.03 (0.88-1.21)0.7351.18 (0.96-1.46)0.1050.99 (0.57-1.69)0.958

aAdjusted by age, sex, mean HbA1c over the 3-year period, duration of diabetes, SBP, LDL-C, eGFR (in the analysis of eGFR stage progression), and presence of ischemic heart disease and heart failure at baseline. eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; HbA1c-SD: internal standard deviation of HbA1c; HbA1c-CV: coefficient of variation of HbA1c; HbA1c-AUC: area under the HbA1c curve; HbA1c-HVS: HbA1c change score; SBP: systolic blood pressure; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.