Malaria Risk Stratification and Modeling the Effect of Rainfall on Malaria Incidence in Eritrea

Table 5

Cluster validity test of the best-fitted model of malaria incidence and rainfall.

Cluster	SARIMA model	Model validity
		Pearson’s correlation		Paired samples t-test
		Value	Significance	Value	df	Significance
High risk	ARIMA (1, 0, 0) (0, 0, 0)	0.597	0.041	0.036	11	0.972
Moderate risk	Simple seasonal	0.647	0.023	−0.688	11	0.506
Low risk	Simple seasonal	0.746	0.005	−0.586	11	0.570
Very low risk	Simple seasonal	0.873	0.001	−0.809	11	0.436

Significant at .