Journal of Healthcare Engineering / 2019 / Article / Tab 1

Research Article

Planning Capacity for Mental Health and Addiction Services in the Emergency Department: A Discrete-Event Simulation Approach

Table 1

Forecasted demand for fiscal years 2017 and 2018.

Demand in 2016Forecast in 2017 (% increase)Forecast in 2018 (% increase)Forecast methodError (MAD)

NMHA58,94761,995 (5.2)63,800 (8.2)Linear regression716.7
MHA (substance abuse)2,8793,206 (11.4)3,471 (20.6)Linear regression43.4
MHA (schizophrenia)484486 (0.4)486 (0.4)Weighted moving average: k = 3 and weights (0.2, 8.0 and 0.8)14.4
MHA (mood)1,1551,027 (−11.1)1,131 (−2.1)Linear regression154.2
MHA (anxiety)1,4541,424 (−2.1)1,467 (0.9)Linear regression136.6
MHA (others)159159 (0.0)177 (11.3)Linear regression21.5

Compared to observed demand in 2017.

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