Research Article
Prediction of Income of Rural Residents Based on Markov Model under the Background of Rural Revitalization
Table 4
Comparison of GM (1,1) and GM-Markov prediction results.
| | Year | Original value | GM(1,1) | GM-Markov | | Predictive value | Relative variation | Predictive value | Relative variation |
| | 2011 | 7393.9 | 7393.9 | 0.00% | 7393.9 | 0.00% | | 2012 | 8389.3 | 8701.9 | −3.73% | 8448.5 | −0.71% | | 2013 | 9429.6 | 9484.4 | −0.58% | 9390.5 | 0.41% | | 2014 | 10488.9 | 10337.2 | 1.45% | 10036.1 | 4.32% | | 2015 | 11421.7 | 11266.7 | 1.36% | 11438.3 | −0.15% | | 2016 | 12363.4 | 12279.8 | 0.68% | 12466.8 | −0.84% | | 2017 | 13432.4 | 13384.0 | 0.36% | 13451.2 | −0.14% | | 2018 | 14617.0 | 14587.5 | 0.20% | 14660.8 | −0.30% | | 2019 | 16020.7 | 15899.1 | 0.76% | 15979.0 | 0.26% | | 2020 | 17131.0 | 17328.8 | −1.15% | 17415.9 | −1.66% |
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