Abstract

Background. Waist girth and BMI are commonly used as markers of cardiometabolic risk. Accumulating data however suggest that sagittal abdominal diameter (SAD) or “abdominal height” may be a better marker of intra-abdominal adiposity and cardiometabolic risk. We aimed to identify cutoffs for SAD using a cardiometabolic risk score. Design. A population-based cross-sectional study. Methods. In 4032 subjects (1936 men and 2096 women) at age 60, different anthropometric variables (SAD, BMI, waist girth, and waist-to-hip ratio) were measured and cardiometabolic risk score calculated. ROC curves were used to assess cutoffs. Results. Among men SAD showed the strongest correlations to the majority of the individual risk factors; whereas in women SAD was equal to that of waist girth. In the whole sample, the area under the ROC curve was highest for SAD. The optimal SAD cutoff for an elevated cardiometabolic risk score in men was 22 cm (95%CI; 21.6 to 22.8) and in women 20 cm (95%CI; 19.4 to 20.8). These cutoffs were similar if the Framingham risk score was used. Conclusions. These cutoffs may be used in research and screening to identify “metabolically obese” men who would benefit from lifestyle and pharmacological interventions. These results need to be verified in younger age groups.

1. Introduction

Anthropometric measures are widely used as simple markers to identify subjects at risk of cardiovascular disease and diabetes. A high BMI reflects generalized overweight and obesity and is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Abdominal obesity, especially visceral obesity, is however more hazardous than generalized obesity [1]. Abdominal fat distribution is commonly measured as waist girth or waist/hip ratio, measures that have been shown to predict cardiovascular disease independent of BMI [2, 3]. In fact, a recent large meta-analysis suggests that BMI is not a significant predictor of cardiovascular mortality except in patients with severe obesity [4].

More recently, “abdominal height” or sagittal abdominal diameter (SAD) has shown to be strongly associated with glucose intolerance [5], cardiovascular risk [59], and mortality [1013], independently of other anthropometric measures. SAD is also an excellent estimate of visceral fat [1416] implying that SAD might be a particularly good marker of insulin resistance, which also has been demonstrated in men [17] and women [18]. Despite these promising data, the role of SAD has been overlooked whereas waist girth has received more attention [5, 1921]. We have previously reported that SAD was a better predictor of cardiometabolic risk compared to waist girth and other conventional measures [7]. Now we thus need cutoffs for SAD, data that needs to be derived from a large population-based sample comparing SAD with other measures of abdominal obesity. It is necessary to identify cutoffs in order to use SAD either in research as a screening tool or in the clinic to identify individuals with elevated cardiometabolic risk.

Hence, the aim of this study was to identify optimal cutoffs for SAD to be used in future prospective studies and research. In a population-based sample of Swedish subjects aged 60 we compared SAD with other more conventional anthropometric measures.

2. Material and Methods

2.1. Subjects

In 1997 to 1999, every third man and woman ( in total, 2681 men and 2779 women) living in Stockholm County, Sweden, born between 1937 and 1938, was invited to participate in a health screening survey. Of all invited, 4228 individuals agreed to participate (2036 men and 2192 women, 78% response rate), representing the general population of subjects aged 60 [22]. In the current study we excluded subjects without complete data on all anthropometric, metabolic and cardiovascular variables, resulting in 4032 subjects (1936 men, and 2096 women) that comprise the current study population.

2.2. Clinical Investigation

All subjects underwent a physical examination including anthropometry and blood biochemistry after an overnight fast [22]. Body weight was measured using an electronic scale to the nearest 0.1 kg, with the subjects wearing light clothing and no shoes. Height was measured without shoes to nearest 0.5 cm. BMI was calculated as weight (kg) divided by height (m) squared. SAD (anteroposterior) or “abdominal height” was measured after a normal expiration to nearest 0.1 cm in supine position with straight legs on a firm examination table, without clothes in the measurement area. At the level of iliac crest ( ). SAD was measured using a ruler and water level. SAD was the distance between the examination table up to the horizontal level. Intraobserver variation (coefficient of variation) for SAD was 1.6%, and intrasubject variation was 2.7% [23]. Waist girth was measured according to the WHO in underwear in standing position after normal expiration, midway between the lower rib margin and the iliac crest and hip girth was measured at symphysis trochanter level [24].

Systolic and diastolic blood pressures were measured twice after 5 minutes rest in supine position, using a digital blood pressure monitor (HEM 711, OMROM Health Care) and the mean of the two values was calculated [22].

Venous blood was drawn from antecubital vein after overnight fasting. All blood samples were analyzed online during the study. Cholesterol and triglycerides in serum were analyzed by enzymatic methods (Bayer diagnostics, Tarrytown, USA) [25, 26]. HDL-cholesterol in serum was measured enzymatically after isolation of LDL and VLDL (Boehringer Mannheim GmbH, Germany) and LDL-cholesterol was estimated using Friedewald’s method [27]. ApoB and apoA-I were determined by an immunoturbidimetric method [28]. Serum glucose was measured with an enzymatic colorimetric test (Bayer Diagnostics, Tarrytown, USA) [29]. Serum insulin levels were determined using the ELISA technique (Boeringer Mannheim GmbH, Diagnostica, Germany). Plasma fibrinogen was measured with a functional spectrophotometric test (Boehringer Mannheim, Germany) [30]. γ-glutamyltransferase in serum was determined using an enzymatic colorimetric test (Bayer Diagnostics, Tarrytown, USA).

2.3. Statistical Analyses

Variables that were skewed were logarithmically transformed before statistical analysis. All metabolic and anthropometric variables were normally distributed after transformation. Pearson’s correlation coefficients were used to investigate the associations between anthropometric and metabolic variables. An established cardiometabolic risk score (reflecting metabolic aberrations related to the metabolic syndrome) was calculated, and comprised serum triglycerides, HDL-cholesterol, fasting glucose, fasting insulin, and supine systolic and diastolic blood pressures [7]. Each item was converted to quintiles. For all items except HDL-cholesterol the 20% lowest values were given the quintile value 1 and so on. HDL-cholesterol was given quintile numbers in the reverse order, so that the 20% with the lowest values were given the quintile value 5, and so forth. The risk score was calculated as the sum of quintiles over all items. The sum may span from 6 to 30 and a value above the 80th percentile within each sex was defined as an elevated cardiometabolic risk score [7]. In addition to the cardiometabolic risk score, we also identified cutoffs by using the Framingham risk score (http://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/guidelines/cholesterol/risk_tbl.htm). We defined an elevated Framingham risk score as the highest quintile per gender, thus we used a similar definition as for the cardiometabolic risk score to facilitate comparison. From the Framingham point scores, total Framingham risk was estimated as a 10-year risk (%) of having cardiovascular disease.

For each anthropometric measure, a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated for prediction of an elevated cardiometabolic risk score, within each sex. The c-statistic (area under the ROC curve) and an optimal cutoff, calculated from the Youden index [31] (the maximal sum of sensitivity and specificity), are presented. The sensitivity and specificity (with confidence intervals) based on the optimal cutoff are also presented. Confidence intervals for the Cutoffs were assessed with the bootstrap normal approximation method [32]. We used 10 000 bootstrap samples. Confidence intervals for the c-statistic and significance tests for comparison of c-statistics from different anthropometric measures were calculated according to the method described by DeLong et al. [33].

was regarded as statistically significant. JMP and SAS version 9 software packages were used for statistical analyses (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).

3. Results

The mean (SD) cardiometabolic risk score was 14 (5) for men and 10 (5) for women.

Baseline characteristics of subjects with data on all variables are presented as quintiles for men and women, respectively (Tables 1 and 2). All anthropometric measures were significantly correlated with all individual risk factors except to LDL cholesterol for waist girth, WHR, and BMI in men (Table 3). SAD was the only significant predictor of LDL cholesterol, although the correlation was weak (Table 3).

Among the men, 20.4% were at elevated cardiometabolic risk score, and among the women 22.4% were defined as having elevated cardiometabolic risk. These figures are in accordance with those reported for this population concerning prevalence of the metabolic syndrome [22]. SAD was more strongly correlated to most risk factors as compared with other anthropometric measures in men whereas in women SAD was not consistently better than other anthropometric measures (Table 3). SAD showed the strongest correlation with the cardiometabolic risk score among men; whereas it was not a better correlate than other anthropometric measures in women. The stronger correlation between SAD and the cardiometabolic risk score was statistically significantly different compared with all other anthropometric measures in men (all ), but was only significantly different from BMI in women (Table 3).

In men, SAD showed the highest area under the ROC curve which was statistically significant compared with the other measures except BMI ( , and for comparison with waist girth, WHR, and BMI, resp.), and in women SAD showed together with waist girth the highest area under the ROC curve ( , and for comparison between SAD and waist girth, WHR, and BMI, resp.) (Table 4).

The optimal (95% CI) SAD cutoff for an elevated calculated cardiometabolic risk score for men was 22.2 (21.6 to 22.8) and for women 20.1 (19.4 to 20.8) (Table 5). The optimal cutoffs for waist girth, WHR, and BMI are shown in Table 5.

To further validate these results, we also assessed optimal cutoffs for SAD using the more established Framingham risk score. The present SAD cutoff of 22 cm for men was unchanged if replacing the cardiometabolic risk score with Framingham risk score. In women the cutoff was 21 cm if using the Framingham risk score instead of the cardiometabolic risk score.

The highest quintile of Framingham risk score started at 14 risk points for men, and at 17 risk points for women which corresponded to a 2% and 5% 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease, respectively. In this population, a SAD of 22 cm corresponded to 20% risk in men, and a SAD of 21 cm corresponded to a 14% risk in women.

4. Discussion

The optimal cutoffs for identifying subjects with an elevated cardiometabolic risk score were 22 cm in men and 20 cm in women. These figures corresponded to a BMI 28 in both sexes. This is the first study using ROC curves to identify cutoffs for SAD in a large population-based sample. Based on a Canadian population in 81 men and 70 women, a  cm was suggested to be associated with multiple metabolic disorders [5]. Since the sample size of that study was small it may be unwise to compare that study with ours where the cutoffs where lower. Notably, the present SAD cutoff of 22 cm for men was unchanged if replacing the cardiometabolic risk score with the Framingham risk score, a finding that strengthen the validity of this cutoff. In women the cutoff was however 1 cm higher if using the Framingham risk score instead of the cardiometabolic risk score.

In men, SAD was significantly more closely correlated with the cardiometabolic risk score versus all other anthropometric measures and also showed slightly stronger correlations with most individual risk factors. In women, SAD was an equally good predictor for an elevated cardiometabolic risk score as waist girth. If one should use only one anthropometric measure, SAD thus may be a good choice to capture elevated cardiometabolic risk. The stronger capacity of SAD to predict cardiometabolic risk in men may be explained by the higher visceral fat content in men versus women at a given BMI. This is relevant since visceral adiposity may confer a higher cardiometabolic risk than other fat depots, although this has been debated [34]. Indeed, SAD seems particularly good in capturing visceral fat (which during the supine measurement does not “float out” sideways, as would more be the case for subcutaneous fat) [15, 35]. Also, the cardiometabolic risk score was lower in women (10 versus 14) providing a higher number of men at risk, which could contribute to gender differences observed in this study.

In line with previous data on men, but also to some extent in women, SAD was more closely related to hyperlipidemia [7] and cardiovascular risk [79, 36, 37] than BMI, waist girth, and WHR. Recent data also showed that SAD was the best correlate to hypertension [7, 36] and plasminogen activating inhibitor-1 [7]. Furthermore, in the Swedish Obese Subjects study the change in SAD was most closely related to the change of metabolic disorders [38]. We have also shown that SAD was a significantly better predictor of insulin resistance than waist girth in men, even independently of BMI and waist girth [17]. Thus, SAD may carry unique information beyond that of other anthropometric measures. Similarly, SAD was the strongest predictor of insulin resistance and CRP levels in healthy women [18]. A recent study in elderly 389 men and 437 women (aged 56–83 years) did however not find that SAD was superior to waist with regard associations with components of the metabolic syndrome [39]. The latter inconsistency might be due to older age groups studied, ethnic, sex, phenotype, or methodological differences.

One possible explanation for a somewhat better predictive capacity of SAD is the higher measurement reliability of SAD compared with waist girth [23, 40]. SAD may also be the only measure with high reliability in both lean and obese subjects [23]. Again, SAD may more closely reflect visceral adiposity [1416, 41] and thereby better capture cardiometabolic risk [1]. However, it should be noted that SAD also is a valid measure of total abdominal fat [16].

It has been shown that a large waist is a useful tool to detect metabolic disorders [5, 19, 20, 42]. These studies did however not compare the predictive capacity with SAD. In one study SAD and waist girth were equally good markers of various metabolic disorders [5]. The present results in a large population do suggest that in men SAD is more strongly associated with individual cardiometabolic risk factors. With regard to mortality, available studies indicate that SAD is a strong predictor of mortality independently of BMI [1013], especially in younger adults [11, 13]. However, these studies did not include waist girth or the waist-hip ratio, and only one study included women which showed that SAD was a stronger predictor of mortality than BMI also in women [13]. That study also showed that SAD was good predictor in several ethnic groups.

It has sometimes been argued that waist girth is more practical to measure than SAD. The difference is however negligible. Our results support the use of SAD as a valuable screening tool in research since it is a simple, reliable, and cheap marker to identify men at elevated cardiometabolic risk.

There are limitations of this study. This is a cross-sectional study and further prospective analyses will be needed to verify SAD as a predictor of mortality. In addition, the cardiometabolic risk score used have not been established as a determinant of cardiovascular events and mortality. It should however be noted that cutoffs for waist circumference used in current clinical guidelines worldwide are based on cross-sectional data as well [19]. Another relevant limitation is the arbitrary definition of an elevated cardiometabolic risk score, but similar results were obtained if the Framingham risk score was used thus supporting the data. Strengths of the study include the population-based, representative sample of men and women of the same age (age 60). For the latter reason confounding influences of age are avoided. On the other hand, the generalizability to younger age groups decreases. Caucasians comprised the majority of the population but several ethnicities were represented in this study; that is, 19% was of non-Swedish origin [43]. Notably, SAD seems to be useful in various ethnic groups [13, 44] and in a US population, SAD (measured in standing) predicted coronary heart disease across racial groups [13].

5. Conclusion

The optimal cutoffs for SAD were 22 cm in men and 20 cm in women. In line with the previous studies, SAD was the best marker of an elevated cardiometabolic risk score in men, and at least as good as other anthropometric measures in women. Thus, SAD may be a good alternative to waist girth as a simple screening tool in research aiming at recruiting subjects at elevated cardiometabolic risk, especially men. Further evaluation of SAD is warranted in younger age groups.

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by grants from the Stockholm County Council, the Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, and the Swedish Research Council (longitudinal research). The first author was funded by the Swedish Society for Medical Research (SSMF) and NordForsk (Nordic Centre of Excellence in Food, Nutrition and Health, SYSDIET).