Research Article

Lifetime Prevalence of Abortion and Risk Factors in Women: Evidence from a Cohort Study

Table 1

Descriptive statistics of the sampled population and the results of the logistic regression model for risk factors of spontaneous abortion.

VariablesTotalAbortionAbortion ratioAdjusted
(%) (prevalence)Mean (SD)OR (95% CI)

Total (%)4831 (100)1241 (25.7)0.10 (0.2)
Menstruation start age
 <12 years1031 (21.4)276 (26.8)0.11 (0.2)1
 13-16 years3472 (72.2)891 (25.7)0.11 (0.2)0.9 (0.8-1.1)
 >17 years306 (6.4)64 (20.9)0.07 (0.1)0.7 (0.5-1.0)
Pregnancy number
 1-31799 (37.3)255 (14.2)0.09 (0.2)1
 4-51376 (28.5)420 (30.5)0.14 (0.3)4.5 (3.7-5.5)
 ≥61648 (34.2)558 (33.8)0.10 (0.2)8.3 (6.6-10.5)
First pregnancy age (year)
 15611 (12.7)169 (27.6)0.08 (0.2)1
 15-202469 (51.2)620 (25.1)0.09 (0.2)0.9 (0.8-1.2)
 21-251159 (24.1)286 (24.7)0.11 (0.2)1.3 (0.9-1.6)
 ≥26581 (12.1)155 (26.7)0.20 (0.4)1.9 (1.3-2. 8)
First marriage age (year)
 ≥151406 (29.1)375 (26.7)0.08 (0.2)1
 16-202338 (48.4)593 (25.4)0.10 (0.2)1.2 (0.9-1.4)
 21-25728 (15.1)174 (23.9)0.12 (0.2)1.2 (0.9-1.6)
 ≥26358 (7.4)98 (27.4)0.19 (0.4)1.6 (1.0-2.4)
Level of education
 Illiterate1791 (37.3)433 (24.1)0.06 (0.1)1
 1-5 years2202 (45.9)582 (26.4)0.12 (0.3)1.8 (1.5-2.1)
 6-9 years461 (9.6)123 (26.8)0.14 (0.3)2.4 (1.8-3.2)
 10-12 years243 (5.1)62 (25.5)0.18 (0.4)2.4 (1.6-3.5)
 ≥13 years111 (2.1)41 (36.9)0.23 (0.3)3.5 (2.1-5.8)
Place
 Urban2083 (58.0)772 (34.7)0.12 (0.3)1
 Rural1507 (42.0)469 (31.1)0.09 (0.2)0.9 (0.8-1.1)
Consanguineous marriage
 No3608 (74.8)934 (25.9)0.10 (0.2)1
 First degree678 (14.1)172 (25.4)0.11 (0.3)0.9 (0. 8-1.2)
Second degree541 (11.1)135 (2.9)0.09 (0.2)0.9 (0. 8-1.2)
 Smoking status
 No4548 (94.4)1166 (25.6)0.11 (0.2)1
 Current105 (2.2)22 (20.1)0.05 (0.1)0.7 (0.4-1.2)
 Former165 (3.4)48 (29.1)0.07 (0.1)1.2 (0.8-1.7)
Secondhand smoking
 No2446 (50.6)599 (24.5)0.10 (0.2)1
 Yes2385 (49.4)642 (26.9)0.11 (0.3)1.1 (1.0-1.3)
BMI
 <18.952 (1.1)7 (14)0.09 (0.2)1
 19-24.9965 (20.1)229 (23.7)0.11 (0.2)1.9 (0.8-4.6)
 25-29.91952 (40.6)504 (25.8)0.12 (0.2)2.2 (0.96-4.9)
 30-34.91381 (28.8)380 (27.5)0.09 (0.2)2.4 (1.1-5.5)
 >35452 (9.4)115 (25.4)0.9 (0.2)2.3 (0.9-5.3)
Physical activity daily METs
 24-36.51036 (21.4)261 (25.2)0.11 (0.3)1
 36.6-44.93302 (68.4)862 (26.1)0.11 (0.2)1.1 (0.9-1.3)
 ≥45492 (10.2)118 (23.9)0.08 (0.2)1.0 (0. 8-1.4)
Use contraceptive drug
 No812 (16.8)240 (29.5)0.13 (0.3)1
 Yes4013 (83.2)996 (24.8)0.10 (0.2)0.8 (0.6-0.9)
Socioeconomic status
 1st quantile (the poorest)968 (20.1)236 (24.4)0.08 (0.2)1
 2nd quantile966 (20.0)222 (22.9)0.09 (0.2)0.9 (0.7-1.1)
 3rd quantile962 (19.9)242 (25.1)0.09 (0.2)1.0 (0.8-1.3)
 4th quantile968 (20.1)248 (25.6)0.11 (0.3)1.0 (0.8-1.3)
 5th quantile (the richest)962 (19.9)291 (30.2)0.15 (0.3)1.4 (1.1-1.8)
Thyroid
 No4546 (94.1)1159 (25.5)0.10 (0.3)1
 Hypo261 (5.4)73 (27.9)0.1 (0.2)1.1 (0.8-1.5)
 Hyper24 (0.5)9 (37.5)0.14 (0.2)1.8 (0.7-4.5)
Blood pressure
 No4465 (92.7)1158 (25.9)0.11 (0.2)1
 Yes353 (7.33)76 (21.5)0.12 (0.3)0.6 (0.5-0.8)
Goodness of fit model
 Sensitivity19.15%
 Specificity95.25%
Accuracy75.97%
 Positive predictive value57.79%
 Negative predictive value77.63%