Research Article

Forecasting the COVID-19 Diffusion in Italy and the Related Occupancy of Intensive Care Units

Table 2

10-step-ahead predictions for the variable Ut (people in ICUs).

ā€‰Italy

29 March368139604086570.4
30 March375140094170601.3
31 March373040754264784.2
1 April373241414350880.0
2 April370741854386945.2
3 April3667426244931012.7
4 April3608428046101402.6
5 April3492427547011611.8
6 April3347424948142097.0
7 April3143424348992418.4

Lombardia

29 March127213691426202.6
30 March128613891458237.4
31 March128714021482242.4
1 April129114121490274.7
2 April128914201509304.6
3 April128614271526325.6
4 April127014251537386.4
5 April125214211558423.7
6 April122714161578501.5
7 April119114121599580.3

Piedmont

29 March42243345132.7
30 March42843645740.1
31 March42843847058.3
1 April42743647870.2
2 April42443449192.0
3 April419427498111.7
4 April409417508134.0
5 April395406512163.1
6 April373396523204.5
7 April354383535254.3

Liguria

29 March15616316815.1
30 March15916317116.1
31 March15816317421.4
1 April15816217826.8
2 April15816118130.9
3 April15615918539.5
4 April15315718747.8
5 April14815319160.0
6 April14315119370.6
7 April13714519582.4

Valle Aosta

29 March2425272.4
30 March2525293.1
31 March2425304.0
1 April2424314.3
2 April2322325.5
3 April2221336.8
4 April2119348.2
5 April19163612.3
6 April18143613.3
7 April15123718.4

Veneto

29 March33135736748.5
30 March33536037553.7
31 March33536538265.3
1 April33437039180.6
2 April33237540196.7
3 April324378409119.4
4 April312375424156.7
5 April298376440200.4
6 April286370448231.1
7 April267369461268.0

Friuli Venezia Giulia

29 March5657604.3
30 March5658604.8
31 March5658634.5
1 April5558635.2
2 April5457657.0
3 April5256668.3
4 April51566710.2
5 April49556911.4
6 April48537112.0
7 April44527215.3

Emilia-Romagna

29 March306349379100.5
30 March309365394116.7
31 March309369409136.5
1 April312372.421148.5
2 April313379433152.7
3 April314386439174.1
4 April311388442180.7
5 April307392442188.6
6 April298399447212.6
7 April288401444212.5

Trentino Alto Adige

29 March11012413520.4
30 March11312714427.4
31 March11413015033.5
1 April11313215540.5
2 April11313315842.6
3 April11113316048.5
4 April10713116154.8
5 April10113016460.3
6 April9412617176.8
7 April8712317587.3

Lazio

29 March12013614629.8
30 March12513915735.4
31 March12314117158.6
1 April11814417971.0
2 April111145200109.5
3 April104145219135.3
4 April95141235160.3
5 April84139264196.8
6 April73134294253.8
7 April61131343321.5

Macroarea Center

29 March47649150940.6
30 March48549251945.3
31 March48449253464.9
1 April48248954785.6
2 April479484565116.2
3 April475478586142.0
4 April468469608193.6
5 April460460624224.0
6 April448448649273.3
7 April438438681331.9

Campania

29 March12614216741.2
30 March13315919768.5
31 March13817622897.4
1 April144189257114.9
2 April147201293150.8
3 April148206326197.8
4 April143211348212.4
5 April134203382246.2
6 April120197411311.7
7 April109192447370.1

Macroarea South

29 March29631934252.2
30 March30332634855.4
31 March31233536764.8
1 April30634036770.3
2 April302343383100.4
3 April298346394118.5
4 April289348408130.7
5 April278342421171.6
6 April264334441212.7
7 April244318462270.5