Bayesian Prediction of the Overhaul Effect on a Repairable System with Bounded Failure Intensity

Table 3

Comparison of occurred failure times with bayes prediction.

𝑛	𝑇	Actual 𝑡𝑛+1	90% Lower Limit	Median Value	90% Upper Limit
13	𝑥4=1200	1230	1204.3	1258.1	1421.0
14	𝑡14=1230	1268	1233.4	1275.7	1417.0
15	𝑡15=1268	1330	1271.0	1308.0	1435.2
16	𝑡16=1330	1376	1332.7	1366.1	1482.0
17	𝑡17=1376	1447	1378.5	1409.4	1518.1