Research Article

A New Adaptive Local Linear Prediction Method and Its Application in Hydrological Time Series

Table 2

The prediction results for the daily discharge time series observed at Peschanaya and Tim by TLLP method.

Number of nearest neighborsPeschanayaTim
MAE (m3/s)RMSE (m3/s)CCMAE (m3/s)RMSE (m3/s)CC

m+19.6882 × 1022.1893 × 1030.69661.6088 × 10104.5795 × 10100.2904
m+24.2862 × 1051.4036 × 1060.554847.922478.86640.0600
m+35.31516.20560.42938.1494 × 1041.4928 × 1050.5736
m+41.47791.83100.95038.4746 × 10113.0884 × 10120.3439
m+52.44154.28530.76962.0832 × 10179.1309 × 10170.2899
m+60.84281.19070.83072.1107 × 10117.5627 × 10110.3491
m+70.47810.68780.909222.463624.4395-0.3345
m+80.53620.69170.889119.936520.9531-0.5286
m+90.55990.76380.812719.111120.0202-0.5056
m+100.49780.68150.923611.122314.21230.7822
m+110.74450.96710.839918.263824.18650.8162
m+122.62595.6787-0.656813.690517.09750.8609
m+132.77426.0485-0.657411.015013.61990.8799
m+141.95363.7148-0.684611.753514.73290.8702
m+152.68775.8700-0.650511.726014.49790.8819
m+161.83583.4853-0.66127.65179.47250.9089
m+171.87633.3413-0.721611.948614.70640.8939
m+182.51085.5012-0.639413.278116.13630.8916
m+192.02664.0896-0.651614.820817.90760.8850