Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on Scene Simulation Knowledge Mining and Adaptive Neural Network

Table 1

Prediction error for different models.

Time	Winter			Spring			Summer			Fall
	BP	NP	MODEL	BP	NP	MODEL	BP	NP	MODEL	BP	NP	MODEL
7	—	—	—	120.5	85.4	45.3	50.3	47.1	15.4	142.3	46.2	18.1
8	36.2	40.5	20.4	51.5	34	10.3	46.1	40.5	5	60.4	40	9.4
9	36	24	12.3	20.3	25	12.5	30.8	21.5	4	30.4	32.6	14.5
10	16.4	13.4	10.8	42.6	16	12.4	22.7	20.5	2.4	35.4	23.4	14.2
11	41.8	20.4	16.7	34.8	26.4	10.8	16.8	20.4	3.5	28.6	25	10.4
12	69	26.4	25.7	60.7	21.4	5.6	20.7	10.6	1.6	52	20.8	8.6
13	157.8	34.6	17.3	20.4	13.8	20.4	18.6	11.5	1.2	18.2	19.3	15.4
14	27.5	30.7	15	38.6	11.7	26.7	17.3	9.7	1	35.4	15.7	21.6
15	98.4	50.4	24.6	79.1	25.9	22.4	12.4	8.6	1.3	60.7	22.3	20
16	39	20	10.4	25.7	20.8	17.3	19.4	10.5	2.4	20.7	15.8	11.8
17	32.4	30	8.4	20	15.3	10.8	20.6	15.4	4.1	13	14	14
18	35.4	20.9	6.7	31	10.8	5.4	21.7	9.4	5.4	27.6	12.6	12.8
Average	53.6	28.3	15.3	45.4	25.5	16.7	24.8	18.8	3.9	43.7	24.0	14.2