Research Article
Prediction for Traffic Accident Severity: Comparing the Bayesian Network and Regression Models
Table 2
Parameter learning results of the fatality forecasting model.
| No. | Variables | Estimation results | | L-Rrs | Vc | Noi | Nof ≥ 1 | Nof = 0 | Bayesian | Test | Absolute error | Relative error | Bayesian | Test | Absolute error | Relative error |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0052 | 0.0000 | 0.0052 | 1.0000 | 0.9948 | 1.0000 | 0.0052 | 0.0052 | 1123 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.9995 | 1.0000 | 0.0005 | 0.0005 | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0005 | 1.0000 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.6622 | 0.6667 | 0.0045 | 0.0068 | 0.3378 | 0.3333 | 0.0045 | 0.0133 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.2628 | 0.2626 | 0.0002 | 0.0008 | 0.7372 | 0.7374 | 0.0002 | 0.0003 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.9855 | 0.9855 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0145 | 0.0145 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.9994 | 1.0000 | 0.0006 | 0.0006 | 0.0006 | 0.0000 | 0.0006 | 1.0000 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.2012 | 0.2000 | 0.0012 | 0.0060 | 0.7988 | 0.8000 | 0.0012 | 0.0015 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.9369 | 0.9375 | 0.0006 | 0.0006 | 0.0631 | 0.0625 | 0.0006 | 0.0095 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.5000 | 0.0000 | 0.5000 | 1.0000 | 0.5000 | 0.0000 | 0.5000 | 1.0000 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.2601 | 0.2601 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.7399 | 0.7399 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.9575 | 0.9575 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0425 | 0.0425 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.9087 | 0.9091 | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0913 | 0.0909 | 0.0004 | 0.0044 |
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