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Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Volume 2013 (2013), Article ID 542618, 6 pages
Research Article

Evaluation of the City Emergency Capacity Based on the Evidence Theory

1School of Management, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong 250100, China
2School of Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
3School of Mathematics, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong 250100, China

Received 5 September 2013; Accepted 24 October 2013

Academic Editor: Yuxin Mao

Copyright © 2013 Jiang-hua Zhang et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


The evidence theory is a decision-making method used to solve incomplete information and uncertain problems. This paper proposes to use evidence theory to evaluate city emergency capacity on the basis of the existing evaluation system. And when scoring each index, experts give the trust degrees of different evaluation ranks, including the trust degrees that cannot be given. It can be seen from this study that the application of evidence theory in city emergency capability evaluation has its feasibility and superiority.