Research Article
First-Order ARMA Type Fuzzy Time Series Method Based on Fuzzy Logic Relation Tables
Table 4
The best results obtained for 15-observation test set of IMKB data.
| Date | Test set | Song and Chissom [1] | Chen [5] | Chen [6] | Huarng [11] distribution-based method | Huarng [11] average-based method |
Huarng and Yu [13] rational-based method | Aladag et al. [8] | Proposed method* |
| 01.12.2010 | 66156 | 65695.5 | 66250 | 64833.3 | 65900.0 | 65300 | 66328.8 | 65650 | 66000 | 02.12.2010 | 66939 | 66438.2 | 65800 | 66700.0 | 65566.7 | 64100 | 66164.2 | 67150 | 67633 | 03.12.2010 | 66860 | 67088.0 | 67450 | 66700.0 | 67233.3 | 66700 | 67143.8 | 67150 | 66700 | 08.12.2010 | 67705 | 67088.0 | 67450 | 66700.0 | 67233.3 | 66700 | 67143.8 | 67150 | 66700 | 09.12.2010 | 65914 | 66252.5 | 66250 | 67633.3 | 65900.0 | 67700 | 66328.8 | 67150 | 68100 | 10.12.2010 | 64759 | 65695.5 | 65800 | 66233.3 | 65566.7 | 65900 | 65791.4 | 64150 | 65300 | 13.12.2010 | 66380 | 65695.5 | 65350 | 66700.0 | 65900.0 | 64700 | 65258.3 | 65650 | 65300 | 14.12.2010 | 66510 | 66438.2 | 65800 | 66700.0 | 65566.7 | 67100 | 66164.2 | 65650 | 66700 | 15.12.2010 | 65499 | 66438.2 | 65800 | 66700.0 | 67233.3 | 66500 | 66164.2 | 67150 | 66700 | 16.12.2010 | 64429 | 65695.5 | 66250 | 65766.7 | 65566.7 | 66300 | 66328.8 | 64150 | 65300 | 17.12.2010 | 63524 | 65695.5 | 65350 | 64366.7 | 65900.0 | 64500 | 65258.3 | 65650 | 63900 | 20.12.2010 | 63502 | 65138.5 | 63550 | 63900.0 | 64900.0 | 63500 | 63684.8 | 65650 | 63900 | 21.12.2010 | 64820 | 65138.5 | 63550 | 63900.0 | 64900.0 | 63500 | 63684.8 | 65650 | 63900 | 22.12.2010 | 65440 | 65695.5 | 65350 | 64833.3 | 65900.0 | 65500 | 65258.3 | 65650 | 65300 | 23.12.2010 | 66219 | 65695.5 | 66250 | 66700.0 | 65566.7 | 66300 | 66328.8 | 65650 | 66000 |
| | RMSE | 919.47 | 925.42 | 954.17 | 1052.90 | 1283.18 | 896.96 | 1060.12 | 865.28 | | MAPE | 0.01124 | 0.01081 | 0.01245 | 0.01285 | 0.01558 | 0.01085 | 0.01312 | 0.01029 | | DA | 0.71429 | 0.57143 | 0.64286 | 0.50000 | 0.57143 | 0.64286 | 0.64286 | 0.71429 |
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The best result.
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