Short-Term Power Generation Energy Forecasting Model for Small Hydropower Stations Using GA-SVM

Table 5

AIC value and performance indices of alternative ARMA models for Maguan County.

(𝑝, 𝑞)	AIC	Calibration		Validation
		RMSE	MAPE	RMSE	MAPE
(1, 2)	11.1782	261.22	7.94	234.76	4.46
(2, 1)	11.1739	260.49	7.95	233.48	4.53
(2, 2)	11.1755	260.37	7.96	234.82	4.55
(2, 3)	11.1778	260.36	7.96	234.13	4.54
(2, 4)	11.1779	260.14	7.95	232.24	4.47
(3, 3)	11.1767	260.07	7.96	234.95	4.60