Research Article

Predicting the Times of Retweeting in Microblogs

Table 5

Result of prediction on re-tweeting of the 33 original tweets and comparison to real values.

rtmidrttimeEventLifecycle1st value2nd valuePrediction valueActual valueDeviation

88722635164855962011/10/6 19:17:17death of Steve Jobs$mourn Steve Jobs9.64969234992558710.65%
88729610907477012011/10/6 12:07:52death of Steve Jobs$mourn Steve Jobs8.6991101179922711090410.52%
88729838258284312011/10/6 10:01:33death of Steve Jobs$mourn Steve Jobs10.22278684228702751416.88%
88729902331702142011/10/6 10:14:24death of Steve Jobs$mourn Steve Jobs9.81156037115971376815.77%
88968006362963122011/8/17 9:33:03Xiaomi release$Xiaomi24.4672564267298720216.56%
88968223381374782011/8/17 12:28:16Xiaomi release$Xiaomi24.24841750158714.65%
88968588396077612011/8/17 10:19:08Xiaomi release$Xiaomi25.24050634405404729714.29%
88968896341861992011/8/17 11:04:27Xiaomi release$Xiaomi24.8398104639856380174.84%
88969528126100102011/8/17 17:04:08Xiaomi release$Xiaomi26.5541555420690321.48%
510001800832821692011/3/11 15:09:44House prices$ houseJapan Earthquake$Miyagi-ken0.6746827470597225.08%
510001800834928142011/3/11 15:45:08House prices$ houseJapan Earthquake$Miyagi-ken0.64449544499553818.76%
510001800911043842011/3/11 16:31:18Japan Earthquake$magnitude 9.0 earthquake1.597092697351169916.79%
550001800915348602011/3/11 16:31:55Japan Earthquake$magnitude 9.0 earthquake0.971461147146581689113.22%
550001805270270362011/3/12 9:19:52Japan Earthquake$magnitude 9.0 earthquake1.66888256913802213.82%
580001800835537052011/3/11 15:08:16Japan Earthquake$magnitude 9.0 earthquake0.82564552256973017414.84%
51000191074018802011/4/1 12:56:42Yao Jiaxin murder case$Zhang Miao2.41081977108961240012.13%
5100018568308423902011/3/27 11:54:27Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin8.3443923446248738.43%
5100018568343673172011/3/27 18:55:52Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin11.875667627761.80%
5100019049036438372011/4/19 10:19:43Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin1.1272441087352977924.82%
5100019085647546982011/4/13 14:36:44Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin12338463233878362986.67%
5500019068738383962011/4/17 10:40:19Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin9.24752458475825338510.87%
22435267214101523302011/4/22 12:18:52Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin1.42418192242732790613.02%
22435782145876948222011/4/22 12:41:36Yao Jiaxin murder case$Yao Jiaxin10.51213841121791446215.79%
27000599582694434922011/5/27 4:28:31Fuzhou bombings$Qian Mingqi$Fuzhou1.52451222473281312.09%
27001179914488175962011/5/26 20:50:41Fuzhou bombings$Qian Mingqi$Fuzhou1.66919146933797913.11%
27001766733068642282011/5/27 0:48:40Fuzhou bombings$Qian Mingqi$Fuzhou1.626994177011787610.98%
27013744674406015772011/5/26 12:01:08Fuzhou bombings$Qian Mingqi$Fuzhou8.14806154821546511.78%
27014313223604494332011/5/26 19:11:24Fuzhou bombings$Qian Mingqi$Fuzhou1.389563489901077216.54%
27092583833030852892011/6/5 8:19:59Li Na win French Open in tennis$Francesca Schiavone10.2172671733192710.07%
27098646546669326432011/6/4 23:00:46Li Na win French Open in tennis$Francesca Schiavone0.73626767363344314615.79%
27098706976938814142011/6/4 21:50:59Li Na win French Open in tennis$Francesca Schiavone0.911637411211648613654414.69%
27098717132304860852011/6/4 21:46:34Li Na win French Open in tennis$Francesca Schiavone1.383967072397424892518.77%
27098930771701557962011/6/4 20:58:17Li Na win French Open in tennis$Francesca Schiavone1.6349383501398312.10%