Research Article

Representation Bias, Return Forecast, and Portfolio Selection in the Stock Market of China

Table 1

Hierarchy, criteria, and weights in the stock selection.

Hierarchy Criteria Weights Weights notations

Investment environmentEconomics 0.2
Government supervision 0.1
Policies 0.15
Industry situations 0.325
Area situations 0.125
Others 0.1

Company issuesIssuance time 0.1
Issuance area 0.1
Substantial shareholders 0.15
Tradable shareholders 0.15
Company executives 0.2
Significant matters 0.2
Others 0.1

Profitability of the stocksStock market segment 0.1
Market value 0.1
Coupon value 0.06
EPS 0.1
Shareholders' equity 0.06
Dividends and placing 0.1
Earnings 0.1
Volume 0.1
Risk assessment 0.1
The growth of the stock 0.1
ROE 0.08
Others 0.02

Investors’ perspectivesThe chosen fund company 0.2
Financial ability 0.2
Risk tolerance 0.25
Expectations for returns 0.25
Others 0.1