Research Article
Application of AR Model in the Analysis of Preearthquake Ionospheric Anomalies
Table 2
Comparison of different Autoregression model’s predictions.
| Order | Second-order | Third-order | Fourth-order | Fifth-order | Sixth-order |
| | 8330.168247 | 8226.200168 | 7827.606801 | 7301.419726 | 5755.198635 | Observations | 370 | 369 | 368 | 367 | 366 | | | 4.663662494 | 18.7391067 | 26.44837084 | 98.3314313 |
| Order | Seventh-order | Eighth-order | Ninth-order | Tenth-order | Eleventh-order |
| | 5365.003372 | 5343.676889 | 5063.582368 | 4944.146682 | 4368.569797 | Observations | 365 | 364 | 363 | 362 | 361 | | 26.5463526 | 1.452715028 | 20.07952149 | 8.74482927 | 47.56322207 |
| Order | Twelfth-order | Thirteenth-order | Fourteenth-order | Fifteenth-order | Sixteenth-order |
| | 4297.146322 | 3890.81946 | 3841.13286 | 3817.8232 | 3754.323933 | Observations | 360 | 359 | 358 | 357 | 356 | | 5.983610742 | 37.49116218 | 4.630874185 | 2.179657889 | 6.021254327 |
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