Research Article

Model for Estimation Urban Transportation Supply-Demand Ratio

Table 1

Characteristic of complex system and transportation system.

Complex system [20] characteristicTransportation system characteristic

Large numbers of elements are manifoldElements:
People (drivers, passengers, and pedestrian)
Vehicle (motor and nonmotor vehicle, train)
Facilities (road, tunnel, bridge, signal system, etc.)
Management (laws and regulations, management technique)
Environment (economic and culture)

Interaction among the elements is more important than the element itselfThe crux of transportation system’s maximum efficiency is the coordination of the elements

Multiple causality among the elementsTransportation system consists of subsystems such as economy, number of vehicles, environment, travel demand, transport supply, and a traffic congestion subsystem. Every subsystem has causality and there is special causality among the subsystems [21]

Dynamic and nonlinearTransportation system’s elements are in a stochastic condition; that is, they vary with time and space; their linear relationship, because of complex causality, cannot satisfy the requirements of modeling to simulate real transportation, so the modeling method has undergone several processes: statistics, differential equations, system dynamic, the models of complex network, and modeling method based on Agent [22]

Self-organization and self-adaptivenessA transportation system, because of randomness and complexity, can only operate in orderly fashion by using a self-feedback function. This is, in order for traffic flow tend to be in ordered under certain conditions, the transportation system should self-adjust, based on real-time traffic status, by control and management technologies [23], so that it has self-organization and self-adaptiveness