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Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Volume 2015, Article ID 537362, 10 pages
Research Article

Quantitative Risk Analysis of Offshore Fire and Explosion Based on the Analysis of Human and Organizational Factors

1Department of Safety Science and Engineering, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, China
2Jiangsu Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Nanjing 210042, China

Received 12 May 2015; Accepted 30 June 2015

Academic Editor: Xiaobo Qu

Copyright © 2015 Yan Fu Wang et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


A dynamic risk analysis model of offshore fire and explosion is proposed in this paper. It considers the effect of human and organizational factors in a more explicit way than current traditional risk analysis methods. This paper begins with exploring the recent advances on offshore fire and explosion risk analysis theories, followed by briefly introducing the research techniques employed in the proposed hybrid causal logic model which consists of event tree, fault tree, Bayesian network, and system dynamics. Thereafter, it proposes a quantitative risk analysis framework. At last, the applicability of this model to the offshore platform is also discussed. It aims to provide guideline for risk analysis of offshore fire and explosion.