Quantitative Risk Analysis of Offshore Fire and Explosion Based on the Analysis of Human and Organizational Factors

Table 3

Conditional probability and mutual information of human and organization factor.

Basic event	Prior probability (%)	Posterior probability (%)	Mutual information
no_check_rules	5	5.6	0.0000537
not_comply_with_instruction	20	75.2	0.107
inefficient_emergency_plan	8	13.4	0.002483
deficient_training	5	8.85	0.001914
improper_safety_organization	10	11.3	0.0001325
not_obey_standards	15	17.3	0.0002871
deficient_maintenance	8	8.85	0.0000702
wrong_risk_assessment	25	26.7	0.0001054