Research Article
Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Using Support Vector Regression Optimized by Cuckoo Optimization Algorithm
Table 3
Performance evaluation for one-step- to four-step-ahead predictions.
| Predictions | Methods | MAE (m/s) | RMSE (m/s) | MAPE (%) | (—) | IA (—) |
| One-step-ahead prediction | SVR | 0.6911 | 0.9300 | 9.6650 | 0.9424 | 0.9846 | GA-SVR | 0.6860 | 0.9184 | 9.6524 | 0.9435 | 0.9851 | PSO-SVR | 0.6951 | 0.9376 | 9.6896 | 0.9414 | 0.9844 | COA-SVR | 0.6836 | 0.9119 | 9.6371 | 0.9443 | 0.9853 |
| Two-step-ahead prediction | SVR | 1.0101 | 1.3598 | 14.6636 | 0.8779 | 0.9657 | GA-SVR | 1.0418 | 1.4028 | 14.7376 | 0.8706 | 0.9630 | PSO-SVR | 1.0472 | 1.4148 | 14.7800 | 0.8697 | 0.9618 | COA-SVR | 1.0051 | 1.3420 | 14.6764 | 0.8800 | 0.9673 |
| Three-step-ahead prediction | SVR | 1.1608 | 1.5941 | 17.3654 | 0.8318 | 0.9521 | GA-SVR | 1.1814 | 1.6129 | 17.5094 | 0.8285 | 0.9502 | PSO-SVR | 1.2290 | 1.6662 | 17.7517 | 0.8181 | 0.9460 | COA-SVR | 1.1515 | 1.5815 | 17.3018 | 0.8343 | 0.9539 |
| Four-step-ahead prediction | SVR | 1.2602 | 1.7247 | 18.9360 | 0.8043 | 0.9423 | GA-SVR | 1.2616 | 1.7293 | 18.9662 | 0.8032 | 0.9421 | PSO-SVR | 1.2761 | 1.7502 | 19.0296 | 0.7999 | 0.9398 | COA-SVR | 1.2386 | 1.7079 | 18.8183 | 0.8075 | 0.9451 |
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