Mathematical Problems in Engineering / 2015 / Article / Tab 4

Research Article

A New Hybrid Model Based on an Intelligent Optimization Algorithm and a Data Denoising Method to Make Wind Speed Predication

Table 4

The forecasting results of August from observation site 1 on a given time interval.

Date
August
Time (h)Actual valueBPANNARIMAWT-ARIMAWAFSA-BPANN
ForecastingMAPE (%) ForecastingMAPE (%) ForecastingMAPE (%) ForecastingMAPE (%)

Aug. 10:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
4.8
4.1
2.4
1.7
4.539
4.536
2.586
1.751
5.448
10.642
7.731
3.013
4.595
4.529
2.434
1.566
4.263
10.454
1.437
7.872
4.403
4.442
2.493
1.510
8.263
8.341
3.869
11.184
4.639
3.897
2.579
1.838
3.356
4.951
7.472
8.139

Aug. 20:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
3.5
3
2.4
3.3
3.865
2.971
2.912
3.421
10.423
0.959
21.340
3.669
3.787
2.850
2.796
3.323
8.201
4.986
16.501
0.702
3.775
2.816
2.835
3.302
7.845
6.137
18.126
0.049
3.848
2.838
2.642
3.352
9.951
5.413
10.068
1.585

Aug. 30:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
2.8
5.1
4.3
2
2.853
4.442
3.970
2.168
1.900
12.903
7.675
8.380
2.816
4.376
3.939
2.060
0.583
14.201
8.400
2.978
2.682
4.345
3.886
2.087
4.230
14.800
9.621
4.344
2.875
4.379
3.775
2.383
2.676
14.141
12.218
19.144

Aug. 40:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
2.3
3
3.1
2.8
1.925
3.221
2.504
2.912
16.306
7.362
19.233
3.999
1.740
3.134
2.418
2.858
24.338
4.451
22.009
2.064
1.743
3.099
2.411
2.815
24.214
3.287
22.242
0.521
2.298
3.428
3.022
2.661
0.088
14.257
2.504
4.980

Aug. 50:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
1.8
0.8
1.4
4.8
1.648
1.581
1.718
4.287
8.435
97.609
22.680
10.696
1.529
1.474
1.567
4.256
15.072
84.254
11.911
11.328
1.479
1.398
1.609
4.387
17.849
74.703
14.911
8.607
1.888
1.514
1.897
4.635
4.861
89.304
35.478
3.429

Aug. 60:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
1.3
3.3
3.9
1.9
1.444
3.136
3.719
2.598
11.099
4.964
4.651
36.716
1.284
3.120
3.689
2.455
1.226
5.445
5.399
29.233
1.161
3.076
3.600
2.511
10.729
6.792
7.684
32.145
1.746
3.039
3.472
2.490
34.313
7.923
10.980
31.040

Aug. 70:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
2.6
3.8
4.5
12.1
2.796
3.768
4.019
10.417
7.526
0.837
10.688
13.907
2.764
3.710
3.996
10.259
6.291
2.381
11.189
15.216
2.782
3.772
3.995
10.559
7.007
0.733
11.233
12.733
2.787
3.762
3.973
11.377
7.203
0.989
11.722
5.975