Mathematical Problems in Engineering

Volume 2016, Article ID 1687068, 8 pages

http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1687068

## Multistage Multiattribute Group Decision-Making Method Based on Triangular Fuzzy MULTIMOORA

^{1}School of Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou 730020, China^{2}Faculty of Management and Economics, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China

Received 6 April 2016; Revised 26 June 2016; Accepted 3 July 2016

Academic Editor: Anna M. Gil-Lafuente

Copyright © 2016 Wen-feng Dai et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

#### Abstract

This paper proposed a new multiattribute group decision-making method, in which the period significance coefficients and the attribute significance coefficients are completely unknown, and the attribute values are triangular fuzzy numbers. At first, to obtain the period significance coefficients, the period significance coefficients optimization model is constructed according to the time degree and the differences of the decision information in different periods. Then, attribute significance coefficients are determined by the maximum deviation method. Based on this, alternatives are ranked by the triangular fuzzy ratio system method, the triangular fuzzy reference point method, and the triangular fuzzy full multiplicative form, respectively. The dominance theory is used for aggregating the subordinate rankings into the final ranking. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.

#### 1. Introduction

Multiattribute decision-making (MADM) has been widely used in many practical problems, such as emergency plan selection, supplier selection, consumer purchasing selection, and human resource management. However, when dealing with many complex problems, single decision-maker cannot accurately consider all aspects of the decision problem, which will lead to unreasonable decision results. In this case, multiple decision-makers are required to participate in the decision process and the multiattribute group decision-making (MAGDM) appears. Nowadays, MAGDM has attracted many researchers’ attention and has become a hot research topic [1–9].

In classical MAGDM methods, the evaluation values and the attribute significance coefficients are known completely. However, in the practical decision, they are partly known, even completely unknown. To deal with these problems, many fuzzy decision methods and stochastic decision methods are proposed. Parameters in fuzzy decision methods are usually assumed to have given membership functions. Similarly, parameters in the stochastic decision-making methods are presumed to have appointed probability distributions. But decision-makers may not be capable of determining membership functions or probability distributions properly. So many decision methods based on the fuzzy logic theory are proposed. Cao et al. [10–12] presented decision methods based on interval numbers. However, when interval numbers are used to represent the decision information, the interval ranges of them are usually too large so as to cover the whole value range. The intervals are likely to be further enlarged after many operations [13–15]. In addition, each value between the upper and the lower bound of the interval number is generally considered to have the same value opportunity [16]. All these disadvantages will lead to the information distortion or deviation. Compared with interval numbers, triangular fuzzy numbers not only can represent the interval range of the decision information but can highlight the gravity center having the largest probability. Hence, the triangular number can make up the deficiency of the interval number in the precision and facilitate the decision-making at least to some extent.

The multiobjective optimization on the basis of ratio analysis (MOORA), a newly developed MADM method, was firstly proposed by Brauers and Zavadskas for solving MADM problems [17, 18]. Then, MOORA was extended to MULTIMOORA (MOORA plus the full multiplicative form) [19–21]. Compared with other MADM methods, MULTIMOORA is easier to understand and implement. Besides, MULTIMOORA can facilitate the decision-making process and provide effective rankings [22–25]. At present, MULTIMOORA has been expanded into different forms according to the fuzzy logic theory. Brauers et al. [19] extended MULTIMOORA into the fuzzy number environment. Liu et al. [26] expanded MULTIMOORA based on the fuzzy number and used it to evaluate the risk of the failure mode. Baležentis et al. [27] presented a fuzzy MULTIMOORA method for linguistic reasoning and used it to deal with a candidate selection problem. Datta et al. [28] proposed grey-MULTIMOORA and used it to solve the robot selection problem.

However, few studies extended MULTIMOORA into the triangular fuzzy number environment and obtained the final ranking by the dominance theory. Baležentis et al. [27] extended MULTIMOORA based on the triangular fuzzy number. But they only considered the current decision information and ignored the importance of the historical information. In addition, the attribute significance coefficients are given in advance, which will lead to unreasonable results. Based on this, we developed a novel extension of MULTIMOORA method based on considering the current and historical information to solve MAGDM problems. The major contribution of our proposed method is that it considered the current and the historical information of the decision object. So it can describe the decision object comprehensively and objectively. Besides, to obtain the stable period significance coefficients, the period significance coefficients optimization model is constructed according to the time degree and the differences of the decision information in different periods. Hence, our proposed method can help to obtain more objective decision results.

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 briefly introduces some basic concepts related to the triangular fuzzy number. Section 3 mainly presents the steps of the original MULTIMOORA method. A novel extension of MULTIMOORA is proposed in Section 4. In order to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method, a numerical example is presented in Section 5. Finally, conclusions are given in Section 6.

#### 2. Triangular Fuzzy Numbers

Compared with the crisp number, the triangular fuzzy number is more in accord with the uncertainty of the decision environment and the fuzziness of human thinking. Besides, compared with the interval number, the triangular fuzzy number not only can represent the interval range of the decision information but also can highlight the gravity center having the maximum value probability. Hence, the triangular number can reduce the information distortion and information deviation in the process of decision-making. Based on this, this paper represents the decision information with triangular fuzzy numbers.

*Definition 1. *A triangular fuzzy number is defined as and its membership function can be defined as [28]in which and and represent the lower bound and the upper bound of the triangular fuzzy number , respectively, . If , , and are equal, degenerates a crisp value.

*Definition 2. *Let and be two triangular fuzzy numbers and let be a real number; they follow the following rules [29, 30]:(1).(2).(3).(4).(5).

*Definition 3. *Let and be two triangular fuzzy numbers; the distance between them could be obtained as the following:

*Definition 4. *Let be a triangular fuzzy number; its defuzzy formula can be defined as the following:

#### 3. The MULTIMOORA Method

Brauers and Zavadskas extended the MOORA method to MULTIMOORA which includes three parts [17–19]: the ratio system method, the reference point method, and the full multiplicative form method.

Let be the alternative set, let be the attribute set, let be the decision matrix, let be the evaluation value of alternative under the attribute , , , let be the standardized decision matrix, and let be the standardized form of . Hence,

##### 3.1. The Ratio System Method

The evaluation value of the alternative under the ratio system method can be defined as the following:in which and represent the numbers of benefit attributes and cost attributes, respectively, represents the attribute significance coefficient, and represents the evaluation value of alternative under the ratio system method. Alternatives are sorted according to evaluation values in descending order. The optimal alternative is the one having the biggest value [13]:

##### 3.2. The Reference Point Method

At first, the maximal attribute reference point should be specified by (7). Hence,

The deviation between the standardized evaluation value and the reference point can be defined as . So, the evaluation value of th alternative under the reference point method can be represented as the following:

Obviously, the smaller is, the better alternative will be. The optimal alternative is the one having the smallest evaluation value. Hence,

##### 3.3. The Full Multiplicative Form Method

The evaluation value of the th alternative under the full multiplicative form can be defined as the following:in which represents the product of all benefit attributes’ normalized evaluation values and represents the product of all cost attributes’ normalized evaluation values. The bigger is, the better will be. The optimal alternative can be specified by

##### 3.4. The Final Ranking of MULTIMOORA

The dominance theory can integrate several rankings into a compressive ranking according to propositions like equability, transitivity and domination, and so forth. Hence, the alternative rankings obtained from Sections 3.1, 3.2, and 3.3 can be aggregated into the final ranking by the dominance theory. The dominance theory’s application in MULTIMOORA is introduced in literatures [7, 8, 20].

#### 4. The Proposed Method

##### 4.1. The Decision-Making Problem Description

Let represent the alternative set, let represent the attribute set, let represent the attribute significance coefficient with and , let represent the decision-maker set, let represent the period set, let represent the period significance coefficients with and , let represent the initial decision matrix in period , and let represent the alternative evaluation value under the attribute in period , .

##### 4.2. The Decision-Making Method

*Step 1 (determine the period significance coefficients). *Usually, the nearer the period approaches the decision point, the more important the period will be, and its significance coefficients should be bigger. In addition, there are some fluctuations in the decision-making environment caused by the uncertainty of the information and the vagueness of the human thinking. In order to obtain the stable period significance coefficients, the two factors mentioned above should be comprehensively considered in the process of the period significance coefficients optimal model construction. Suppose ; then is called the time degree. The smaller is, the more important information closer to the decision point will be. The stable period significance coefficients can be calculated based on the value of and the distances of alternatives’ evaluation value in different periods.

The sum of distances among alternatives’ evaluation values in period can be computedThe volatility of decision environment can be measured by variance:In order to obtain the stable period significance coefficients, the period significance coefficients optimal model is constructed as follows:The decision information in different periods is integrated according to the period significance coefficients, and the comprehensive evaluation matrix is obtained, , .

*Step 2 (normalize the decision matrix). *The decision matrix should be normalized according to the following equations [30]:where is the normalized form of , .

*Step 3 (calculate the attribute significance coefficients). *The attribute significance coefficients are used to represent the importance of the attribute, which can be calculated by the maximum deviation method. The bigger the deviation of the attribute value is, the bigger the attribute significance coefficient will be. The attribute significance coefficients can be computed by the following equation:where represents the distance between alternatives and under attribute .

*Step 4 (the triangular fuzzy MULTIMOORA method). ****Step 4.1 (the triangular fuzzy ratio system method).* The evaluation values of alternatives under the triangular fuzzy ratio system method can be obtained according to (19). Hence,in which represents the evaluation value of alternative , , and represent the numbers of benefit attributes and cost attributes, respectively. The bigger is, the better alternative will be.

The optimal alternative in the triangular fuzzy ratio system method can be obtained by (20). Hence,*Step 4.2 (the triangular fuzzy reference point method).* The reference point of the th attribute can be determined according to (21). Hence,The deviation between and can be defined as follows:Based on this, the evaluation values of alternatives under the triangular fuzzy reference point method can be calculated as the following equation:According to (9), the smaller is, the better alternative will be. The optimal alternative under the triangular fuzzy reference point method can be determined by the following equation:*Step 4.3 (the triangular fuzzy full multiplicative form method).* The evaluation values of alternatives under the triangular fuzzy full multiplicative form method can be computed according to (25). Hence,where represents the evaluation value of the alternative . The bigger is, the better alternative will be. Hence, the optimal alternative under the triangular fuzzy full multiplicative form method can be determined by the following equation:

*Step 5 (the final ranking of alternatives). *The alternative rankings obtained from Steps 4.1, 4.2, and 4.3 can be integrated into the final ranking of alternatives according to the dominance theory.

#### 5. Numerical Example

An investment company intends to choose and invest the best one from four alternatives. In order to obtain the reasonable result, 5 experts are invited to evaluate alternatives from the economic benefits, the social benefits, and the environment pollution. Let represent the alternative set, let represent the attribute set ( and are the benefit attributes; is the cost attribute), let represent the period set, let represent the attribute significance coefficients with and , let represent the period significance coefficients with and , let represent the decision matrix in period , and let represent the evaluation value of alternative under attribute in period , . The decision matrixes in different periods are constructed according to the evaluation values given by each expert; the results are shown in Table 1.