Research Article
Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge
Table 5
Conditional probability results for dam overtopping as a result of landslide surge for different water levels in the reservoirs.
| | Reservoir | Water level | Mean water Surface width, (m) | Mean water depth, d (m) | Coefficient k | Volumetric weight, γ (kN/m3) | Simulation time, N | Time of dam overtopping, | Overtopping probability | | Case | Value (m) | Probability | Value |
| | Houziyan | Normal | 1842 | 580 | 86.59 | 1 | 20 | 10000 | 1936 | | 0.1936 | | Check | 1845.41 | 630 | 90 | 1 | 20 | 10000 | 2352 | | 0.2352 | | Changheba | Normal | 1690 | 620 | 95.4 | 1 | 20 | 10000 | 1884 | | 0.1884 | | Check | 1694.6 | 660 | 100 | 1 | 20 | 10000 | 2126 | | 0.2126 |
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