Research Article

Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge

Table 8

Simulation parameters and conditional probabilities that the Changheba reservoir dam will overtop due to a dam-break flood from the Houziyan reservoir.

ReservoirSimulation time, Probability interval, Adjusted water levelWater level over dam, (times)Overtopping frequency, Overtopping probability
CaseValue (m)Probability

Changheba100000~1Normal169080750.80750.8075
100000~1Check1694.689810.89810.8981