Research Article
A Hybrid Short-Term Forecasting Model of Passenger Flow on High-Speed Rail considering the Impact of Train Service Frequency
Table 1
MAPE values (%) of different models for 25 testing experiments.
| Testing experiment | Hybrid | Holt-Winters | Linear |
| 1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 20.4 | 2 | 17.3 | 17.0 | 20.5 | 3 | 12.2 | 12.5 | 20.4 | 4 | 15.7 | 21.9 | 21.4 | 5 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 22.3 | 6 | 12.1 | 13.6 | 23.5 | 7 | 12.3 | 15.9 | 23.3 | 8 | 20.4 | 32.9 | 23.1 | 9 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 22.4 | 10 | 14.7 | 19.4 | 15.5 | 11 | 19.4 | 27.2 | 15.6 | 12 | 16.2 | 22.7 | 15.0 | 13 | 11.2 | 13.6 | 14.8 | 14 | 11.0 | 12.6 | 14.7 | 15 | 11.7 | 11.9 | 14.5 | 16 | 10.6 | 12.2 | 14.6 | 17 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 14.8 | 18 | 15.3 | 23.8 | 15.2 | 19 | 22.8 | 34.6 | 15.8 | 20 | 12.5 | 17.1 | 17.0 | 21 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 17.4 | 22 | 9.7 | 12.1 | 17.3 | 23 | 16.2 | 24.3 | 17.2 | 24 | 21.1 | 42.3 | 37.9 | 25 | 12.2 | 22.4 | 39.0 |
| Average | 14.4 | 19.7 | 19.7 |
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