Research Article

Estimation of Crash Severity on Mountainous Freeways in Chongqing

Table 2

Results of partial proportional odds model.

ParameterExplanatory variableCoefficients

BetaTime
2 = 06:00~12:00−0.07722.49
3 = 12:00~18:00−0.19892.78
4 = 18:00~24:000.05512.43
Reference: 1 = 00:00~06:00
Season
2 = summer (May–Oct.)0.54433.56
3 = autumn (Nov.)0.62463.28
4 = winter (Dec.–Feb.)−0.04112.39
Reference: 1 = spring (March-April)
Involvement of trucks0.49823.88
Accident form
2 = sideswipe−0.64133.59
3 = turnover0.67543.7
4 = rear-end0.00182.31
Reference: 1 = with fixed object
Violation of speed limit2.44559.46
Maximum driving experience of at-fault driver
1–3 years−0.20722.68
>3 years−0.53873.48
Reference: ≤1 year
Weather
Sunny−0.28082.83
Rainy−1.21574.23
Snow−2.28744.1
Foggy1.71053.89
Reference: cloudy
Section form
Toll station−13.81052.33
Service area−0.52782.97
Upgrade−1.72553.47
Downgrade1.93465.48
Ramp2.13293.98
Curve1.09794.69
Construction area−0.08322.44
Bridge0.78854.02
Tunnel0.11352.57
Reference: straight

AlphaConstant 1−2.6414−3.10
Constant 2−3.9607−4.55

Summary statisticsLog likelihood−232.1337
Pseudo R20.1954
Number of observations898