Research Article
A New Production Prediction Model Based on Taylor Expansion Formula
Table 5
The actual data and the prediction data of the cumulative production of Bavly [
10] oilfield.
| year | t(a) | cumulative production (million tons) | practical data | prediction data n=2 | prediction data n=3 | prediction data n=4 | prediction data n=5 | prediction data n=7 |
| 1959 | 12 | 2450 | 2318.789 | 2478.5996 | 2454.5865 | 2446.3177 | 2450.3951 | 1960 | 13 | 2830 | 2836.9906 | 2793.9021 | 2822.8706 | 2843.0266 | 2827.0884 | 1961 | 14 | 3200 | 3281.8253 | 3171.0607 | 3194.672 | 3195.8839 | 3206.4152 | 1962 | 15 | 3565 | 3667.8429 | 3556.2227 | 3561.4828 | 3549.8524 | 3562.595 | 1963 | 16 | 3905 | 4005.9848 | 3923.4511 | 3913.4051 | 3900.8663 | 3902.4385 | 1964 | 17 | 4235 | 4304.637 | 4261.2805 | 4243.0933 | 4236.546 | 4228.1552 | 1965 | 18 | 4535 | 4570.3352 | 4565.7695 | 4546.1807 | 4547.2328 | 4535.8497 | 1966 | 19 | 4805 | 4808.2484 | 4836.8296 | 4820.7178 | 4827.7119 | 4819.6946 | 1967 | 20 | 5065 | 5022.5182 | 5076.2599 | 5066.4659 | 5076.3844 | 5074.9303 | 1968 | 21 | 5305 | 5216.5021 | 5286.6897 | 5284.2989 | 5294.047 | 5299.0852 | 1969 | 22 | 5515 | 5392.9507 | 5471.0127 | 5475.7569 | 5482.8775 | 5492.0571 | 1970 | 23 | 5665 | 5554.1387 | 5632.0934 | 5642.7353 | 5645.7241 | 5655.6689 | 1971 | 24 | 5785 | 5701.9639 | 5772.6209 | 5787.2774 | 5785.6499 | 5793.0743 | 1972 | 25 | 5895 | 5838.0216 | 5895.0469 | 5911.4414 | 5905.6629 | 5908.201 | 1973 | 26 | 5995 | 5963.6633 | 6001.5667 | 6017.2188 | 6008.568 | 6005.3019 | 1974 | 27 | 6085 | 6080.0409 | 6094.1253 | 6106.4878 | 6096.8977 | 6088.6276 | 1975 | 28 | 6170 | 6188.1426 | 6174.4338 | 6180.9887 | 6172.8895 | 6162.2078 | 1976 | 29 | 6240 | 6288.8208 | 6243.9918 | 6242.3153 | 6238.4913 | 6229.7177 | 1977 | 30 | 6300 | 6382.8148 | 6304.1099 | 6291.9142 | 6295.3804 | 6294.4093 | 1978 | 31 | 6350 | 6470.7689 | 6355.933 | 6331.0909 | 6344.9897 | 6359.0873 |
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