A New Production Prediction Model Based on Taylor Expansion Formula

Table 5

The actual data and the prediction data of the cumulative production of Bavly [10] oilfield.

year	t(a)	cumulative production (million tons)
		practical data	prediction data n=2	prediction data n=3	prediction data n=4	prediction data n=5	prediction data n=7
1959	12	2450	2318.789	2478.5996	2454.5865	2446.3177	2450.3951
1960	13	2830	2836.9906	2793.9021	2822.8706	2843.0266	2827.0884
1961	14	3200	3281.8253	3171.0607	3194.672	3195.8839	3206.4152
1962	15	3565	3667.8429	3556.2227	3561.4828	3549.8524	3562.595
1963	16	3905	4005.9848	3923.4511	3913.4051	3900.8663	3902.4385
1964	17	4235	4304.637	4261.2805	4243.0933	4236.546	4228.1552
1965	18	4535	4570.3352	4565.7695	4546.1807	4547.2328	4535.8497
1966	19	4805	4808.2484	4836.8296	4820.7178	4827.7119	4819.6946
1967	20	5065	5022.5182	5076.2599	5066.4659	5076.3844	5074.9303
1968	21	5305	5216.5021	5286.6897	5284.2989	5294.047	5299.0852
1969	22	5515	5392.9507	5471.0127	5475.7569	5482.8775	5492.0571
1970	23	5665	5554.1387	5632.0934	5642.7353	5645.7241	5655.6689
1971	24	5785	5701.9639	5772.6209	5787.2774	5785.6499	5793.0743
1972	25	5895	5838.0216	5895.0469	5911.4414	5905.6629	5908.201
1973	26	5995	5963.6633	6001.5667	6017.2188	6008.568	6005.3019
1974	27	6085	6080.0409	6094.1253	6106.4878	6096.8977	6088.6276
1975	28	6170	6188.1426	6174.4338	6180.9887	6172.8895	6162.2078
1976	29	6240	6288.8208	6243.9918	6242.3153	6238.4913	6229.7177
1977	30	6300	6382.8148	6304.1099	6291.9142	6295.3804	6294.4093
1978	31	6350	6470.7689	6355.933	6331.0909	6344.9897	6359.0873