Research Article

Dynamic Decomposition Analysis and Forecasting of Energy Consumption in Shanxi Province Based on VAR and GM (1, 1) Models

Table 4

Statistical results of the trace tests.

Null hypothesisEigenvalueTrace statistic5% critical valuesP value

None 0.979054141.383769.818890.0001
At most 10.58715444.7389547.856130.0953
At most 20.36638922.6219629.797070.2652