Forecasting the Electricity Demand and Market Shares in Retail Electricity Market Based on System Dynamics and Markov Chain

Table 3

Comparison between the market share of the grid’s electricity sales and that of direct transaction under different scenarios.

Scenarios	Economic growth	Industrial restructuring rate	Market share of power grid companies (%)	Market share of direct trading (%)
1	Moderate-speed	moderate	13.12	86.88
2	High-speed	fast	21.95	78.05
3	High-speed	moderate	30.57	69.43
4	Medium-high-speed	low	24.94	75.06
5	Medium-high-speed	moderate	16.16	83.84
6	Medium-high-speed	fast	8.49	91.51