Research Article
Monthly Electricity Consumption Forecasting Method Based on X12 and STL Decomposition Model in an Integrated Energy System
Table 5
Prediction results of monthly electricity consumption in 2017.
| | Month | True value (kW·h) | Predicted value (kW·h) | | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | The proposed method |
| | 1 | 1442390 | 1015637 | 1373173 | 1367599 | 1486094 | | 2 | 845119 | 949851 | 1005304 | 819824 | 812497 | | 3 | 685767 | 769105 | 649486 | 602850 | 701265 | | 4 | 1229505 | 896167 | 1305590 | 1180485 | 1267620 | | 5 | 1060960 | 1014361 | 1084692 | 1118136 | 1004093 | | 6 | 1066720 | 1000885 | 1121492 | 1151494 | 1005170 | | 7 | 1020280 | 1015933 | 1075962 | 1071765 | 969470 | | 8 | 763400 | 869250 | 868404 | 781979 | 745155 | | 9 | 653626 | 737681 | 706551 | 656776 | 678921 | | 10 | 830280 | 823047 | 893032 | 870825 | 868556 | | 11 | 1059400 | 904942 | 1306999 | 1183896 | 1130486 | | 12 | 1110200 | 1000357 | 1272306 | 1162874 | 1133625 |
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