Forecasting Confirmed Cases, Deaths, and Recoveries from COVID-19 in China during the Early Stage

Table 2

Prediction of the death toll due to COVID-19.

Data	Actual values	FGM(1,1)	MAPE
22-Jan	9
23-Jan	17
24-Jan	41
25-Jan	56
26-Jan	80
27-Jan	106	109	2.79
28-Jan	132	143	8.63
29-Jan	170	164	3.26
30-Jan	213	212	0.33
31-Jan	259	267	3.22
1-Feb	304	311	2.22
2-Feb	361	351	2.87
3-Feb	425	422	0.78
4-Feb	490	500	2.02
5-Feb	563	559	0.69
6-Feb	636	643	1.16
7-Feb	722	714	1.13
8-Feb	811	813	0.28
9-Feb	908	908	0.05
Mean			2.10