Research Article

An Improved Prediction Model Combining Inverse Exponential Smoothing and Markov Chain

Table 4

Predicted values of model I and model II.

YearActual valueModel IAbsolute errorRelative error (%)Model IIAbsolute errorRelative error (%)

201328459.7028787.64327.941.1528506.2546.550.16
201431943.6032033.6090.000.2832030.0286.420.27
201533228.2035239.832011.636.0534696.091467.894.42
201639667.3036704.502962.807.4736703.422963.887.47
201742350.6041150.431200.172.8341146.201204.402.84