Research Article

Development of Wind Power Prediction Models for Pawan Danavi Wind Farm in Sri Lanka

Table 4

Expression of wind power models.

Ref.Area/country of studyEquation of the wind power modelPerformance

48BrazilPower output = −130.662 + 37.760 wind speedRMSE = 101.29 kW
48BrazilPower output = −18.500–0.201 wind speed + 2.710 (wind speed)2RMSE = 100.64 kW
49The islands of Crete and Kefalonia, GreecePower output = 10.45 wind speed + 7.08 (wind speed)2–108.5RMSE = 267.45 kW
R2 = 0.37 (R = 0.61)

50Florida, USAPout = Prated CF = Prated [0.087 V–Prated/D2]Accuracy = 2.6–3.5%
where
Pout = power output
Prated = rated power of the turbine (kW)
CF = capacity factor
V = yearly averaged wind speed (m/s)
D = turbine diameter (m)

51Goodnoe Hills, Washington, USAU(t + 1) = 1.1044U (t)−0.2273U (t − 1)Forecast probability < 0.885
where
U(t + 1) = one hour ahead power forecast