Research Article

Investigating the Effect of Oil Revenue Shocks on Business Cycles and the Synchronism of Cycles with Selected OECD Countries

Table 2

Vector autoregressive model results.

VariablesCycleLROIL

Cycle (−1)1.0839 (0.2021) [5.3633]−2.2836 (1.8015) [−1.2676]
Cycle (−2)−0.7982 (0.2114) [3.7745]1.2491 −(1.8852) [−0.6626]
LROIL (−1)0.0447 −(0.0245) [−1.8216]0.8133 (0.2192) [3.7105]
LROIL (−2)0.0539 (0.0270) [1.9967]0.2585 (0.2409) [1.0733]
C0.1007 −(0.1237) [−0.8145]0.7167 −(1.1028) [−0.6499]
R20.59880.8548