Forecasting the Influence of Climate Change on Agroecosystem Services: Potential Impacts on Honey Yields in a Small-Island Developing State

Table 3

Predicted honey yields and areal extents of suitable honey production areas (honey yields ≥ 5.3 L/colony). Under each model the future climate change scenarios are based on (A) Neelin et al. [31], which follows the A2 scenario, and (B) Angeles et al. [32], the IS92 business as usual scenario.

Model	Predicted honey yields (L/colony)			Predicted areal extents of suitable honey production areas (km^2)
	Current	Future
		A	B	Current	Future
	Max–min (Mean ± SD)	Max–min (Mean ± SD)	Max–min (Mean ± SD)		A	B
1	3.5–14.0(4.6±0.9)	2.6–10.6(3.5±0.7)	2.6–10.7(3.6±0.7)	1,012	221	250
2	3.2–32.3(5.1±2.1)	2.3–23.7(3.7±1.6)	2.4–24.2(3.9±1.5)	1,538	617	704
3	0.6–12.0(4.4±1.4)	0.2–10.5 (3.4±1.4)	0.6–11.6(4.1±1.3)	1,370	917	1,149
4	1.7–67.0(6.2±6.2)	0.9–39.1(3.5±3.8)	1.0–39.4(3.9±3.7)	2,210	782	909