Comprehensive Uncertainty Quantification in Nuclear Safeguards

<div>Simulation results for both inverse and reverse regression for (a) the observed and predicted bias versus <svg height="11.9316pt" id="M155" style="vertical-align:-3.2957pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 27.9974 11.9316" width="27.9974pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M748 650H522L515 622L546 617C580 611 587 604 565 575C518 513 469 451 419 393C376 474 349 534 330 580C318 609 325 612 361 618L383 622L392 650H151L144 622C214 616 224 612 257 543L360 327C270 218 187 124 159 95C106 40 92 34 26 28L17 0H252L259 28L236 31C189 37 188 47 209 78C249 136 308 210 377 294L478 79C494 44 487 37 449 32L418 28L409 0H673L680 28C596 34 591 39 554 116L436 361C526 469 574 521 604 553C659 612 669 614 739 622L748 650Z" id="g113-89"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,9.88,3.132)"><path d="M601 496C596 555 591 627 591 675H567C551 656 544 650 516 650H120C91 650 79 651 64 675H41C38 619 34 555 29 492H63C75 537 83 566 96 582C110 604 128 612 207 612H272V126C272 46 264 38 170 33V0H464V33C368 38 359 48 359 126V612H430C502 612 520 605 535 582C547 566 556 541 567 492L601 496Z" id="g58-82"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,14.864,3.132)"><path d="M185 344V453C137 433 92 421 41 413V386C100 378 104 375 104 310V106C104 41 97 35 33 30V0H268V30C190 35 185 41 185 107V283C206 340 240 371 267 371C282 371 296 364 310 351C316 344 325 343 336 348C357 357 369 378 369 399C369 424 345 451 310 451C262 451 219 397 187 344H185Z" id="g58-112"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,18.422,3.132)"><path d="M527 54L498 55C459 56 451 63 451 114V445C436 442 413 438 384 435C353 432 318 430 291 429V402L328 396C361 390 370 387 370 331V101C336 70 300 54 262 54C217 54 173 78 173 166V300C173 361 173 412 176 445C160 442 132 438 105 434C77 431 52 430 29 429V402L59 395C83 390 92 385 92 331V141C92 30 150 -12 218 -12C246 -12 266 -4 295 13C324 29 346 47 370 64V-6L376 -12C396 -7 421 1 448 8C476 15 504 21 527 24V54Z" id="g58-115"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,23.346,3.132)"><path d="M384 109C349 76 310 59 268 59C197 59 123 113 120 245C240 248 367 259 384 262C403 266 407 275 407 296C407 376 338 451 254 451H253C201 451 148 425 105 378C65 334 39 272 39 203C39 88 112 -12 235 -12C266 -12 339 5 402 84L384 109ZM230 411C285 411 319 365 319 313C319 298 313 293 294 293C236 291 180 290 125 290C141 370 185 411 230 411Z" id="g58-99"></path></g></svg> and (b) the observed and predicted RMSE versus <svg height="11.9316pt" id="M156" style="vertical-align:-3.2957pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 27.9974 11.9316" width="27.9974pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M748 650H522L515 622L546 617C580 611 587 604 565 575C518 513 469 451 419 393C376 474 349 534 330 580C318 609 325 612 361 618L383 622L392 650H151L144 622C214 616 224 612 257 543L360 327C270 218 187 124 159 95C106 40 92 34 26 28L17 0H252L259 28L236 31C189 37 188 47 209 78C249 136 308 210 377 294L478 79C494 44 487 37 449 32L418 28L409 0H673L680 28C596 34 591 39 554 116L436 361C526 469 574 521 604 553C659 612 669 614 739 622L748 650Z" id="g113-89"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,9.88,3.132)"><path d="M601 496C596 555 591 627 591 675H567C551 656 544 650 516 650H120C91 650 79 651 64 675H41C38 619 34 555 29 492H63C75 537 83 566 96 582C110 604 128 612 207 612H272V126C272 46 264 38 170 33V0H464V33C368 38 359 48 359 126V612H430C502 612 520 605 535 582C547 566 556 541 567 492L601 496Z" id="g58-82"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,14.864,3.132)"><path d="M185 344V453C137 433 92 421 41 413V386C100 378 104 375 104 310V106C104 41 97 35 33 30V0H268V30C190 35 185 41 185 107V283C206 340 240 371 267 371C282 371 296 364 310 351C316 344 325 343 336 348C357 357 369 378 369 399C369 424 345 451 310 451C262 451 219 397 187 344H185Z" id="g58-112"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,18.422,3.132)"><path d="M527 54L498 55C459 56 451 63 451 114V445C436 442 413 438 384 435C353 432 318 430 291 429V402L328 396C361 390 370 387 370 331V101C336 70 300 54 262 54C217 54 173 78 173 166V300C173 361 173 412 176 445C160 442 132 438 105 434C77 431 52 430 29 429V402L59 395C83 390 92 385 92 331V141C92 30 150 -12 218 -12C246 -12 266 -4 295 13C324 29 346 47 370 64V-6L376 -12C396 -7 421 1 448 8C476 15 504 21 527 24V54Z" id="g58-115"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,23.346,3.132)"><path d="M384 109C349 76 310 59 268 59C197 59 123 113 120 245C240 248 367 259 384 262C403 266 407 275 407 296C407 376 338 451 254 451H253C201 451 148 425 105 378C65 334 39 272 39 203C39 88 112 -12 235 -12C266 -12 339 5 402 84L384 109ZM230 411C285 411 319 365 319 313C319 298 313 293 294 293C236 291 180 290 125 290C141 370 185 411 230 411Z" id="g58-99"></path></g></svg>.</div>

Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations

Comprehensive Uncertainty Quantification in Nuclear Safeguards

Figure 1