Table of Contents Author Guidelines Submit a Manuscript
The Scientific World Journal
Volume 2014, Article ID 510531, 13 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/510531
Research Article

Long-Run Savings and Investment Strategy Optimization

1Cass Business School, City University London, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, UK
2Department of Econometrics, Riskcenter-IREA, University of Barcelona, Avenue Diagonal 690, 08034 Barcelona, Spain

Received 10 November 2013; Accepted 8 January 2014; Published 23 February 2014

Academic Editors: J. M. Calvin, C.-T. Chang, and M. Pal

Copyright © 2014 Russell Gerrard et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

We focus on automatic strategies to optimize life cycle savings and investment. Classical optimal savings theory establishes that, given the level of risk aversion, a saver would keep the same relative amount invested in risky assets at any given time. We show that, when optimizing lifecycle investment, performance and risk assessment have to take into account the investor’s risk aversion and the maximum amount the investor could lose, simultaneously. When risk aversion and maximum possible loss are considered jointly, an optimal savings strategy is obtained, which follows from constant rather than relative absolute risk aversion. This result is fundamental to prove that if risk aversion and the maximum possible loss are both high, then holding a constant amount invested in the risky asset is optimal for a standard lifetime saving/pension process and outperforms some other simple strategies. Performance comparisons are based on downside risk-adjusted equivalence that is used in our illustration.