Analysis of COVID-19 Disease Model: Backward Bifurcation and Impact of Pharmaceutical and Nonpharmaceutical Interventions

<div>The dynamics of <svg height="11.927pt" id="M57" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 13.1624 11.927" width="13.1624pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M610 18C585 26 567 34 540 68C517 97 499 128 476 171C452 215 425 276 413 304C496 332 570 394 570 494C570 555 545 595 509 619S419 650 364 650H139L133 622C216 615 219 612 203 527L129 132C112 40 105 36 23 28L17 0H279L285 28C199 34 194 40 211 132L239 284H284C320 284 334 275 351 236C374 182 394 140 420 93C459 23 495 -1 592 -8H600L610 18ZM480 485C480 424 449 372 403 342C374 323 338 316 293 316H245L291 562C296 589 301 601 311 608S337 618 358 618C432 618 480 575 480 485Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.086,3.132)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg> with respect to the transmission rates <i>β</i>, <span class="nowrap"><svg height="6.1673pt" id="M58" style="vertical-align:-0.2063904pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 7.81142 6.1673" width="7.81142pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M574 449L545 460C526 432 516 430 487 430C404 430 311 435 226 435C104 435 56 379 25 341L43 318C81 354 121 372 181 372C161 246 87 53 23 3L30 -12C48 -12 88 -4 113 11C157 75 207 248 232 371L386 367L326 109C321 86 318 66 318 50C318 4 339 -12 366 -12C410 -12 461 21 505 69L492 96C467 79 434 60 418 60C406 60 400 78 411 147C422 217 439 300 457 366C487 366 524 367 536 370C547 385 558 408 574 449Z"></path></g></svg>,</span> and <span class="nowrap"><svg height="9.39034pt" id="M59" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 6.63704 9.39034" width="6.63704pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M478 372C478 418 458 448 431 448C409 448 389 431 389 410C389 404 391 400 394 395C398 388 406 371 406 348C406 253 308 122 251 51H249C254 122 249 257 231 336C212 421 189 448 159 448C126 448 75 412 23 327L48 306C83 354 103 371 115 371C125 371 134 360 144 334C185 224 192 64 183 -19C146 -100 116 -202 110 -244L125 -261C154 -259 208 -234 222 -220C222 -194 225 -84 235 -23C247 -3 273 36 308 79C379 165 478 288 478 372Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> (a) The change in the value of <svg height="11.927pt" id="M60" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 13.1624 11.927" width="13.1624pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M610 18C585 26 567 34 540 68C517 97 499 128 476 171C452 215 425 276 413 304C496 332 570 394 570 494C570 555 545 595 509 619S419 650 364 650H139L133 622C216 615 219 612 203 527L129 132C112 40 105 36 23 28L17 0H279L285 28C199 34 194 40 211 132L239 284H284C320 284 334 275 351 236C374 182 394 140 420 93C459 23 495 -1 592 -8H600L610 18ZM480 485C480 424 449 372 403 342C374 323 338 316 293 316H245L291 562C296 589 301 601 311 608S337 618 358 618C432 618 480 575 480 485Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.086,3.132)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg> concerning the transmission rates <i>β</i> and <span class="nowrap"><svg height="9.39034pt" id="M61" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 6.63704 9.39034" width="6.63704pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M478 372C478 418 458 448 431 448C409 448 389 431 389 410C389 404 391 400 394 395C398 388 406 371 406 348C406 253 308 122 251 51H249C254 122 249 257 231 336C212 421 189 448 159 448C126 448 75 412 23 327L48 306C83 354 103 371 115 371C125 371 134 360 144 334C185 224 192 64 183 -19C146 -100 116 -202 110 -244L125 -261C154 -259 208 -234 222 -220C222 -194 225 -84 235 -23C247 -3 273 36 308 79C379 165 478 288 478 372Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> (b) Impact of <i>β</i> and <svg height="6.1673pt" id="M62" style="vertical-align:-0.2063904pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 7.81142 6.1673" width="7.81142pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M574 449L545 460C526 432 516 430 487 430C404 430 311 435 226 435C104 435 56 379 25 341L43 318C81 354 121 372 181 372C161 246 87 53 23 3L30 -12C48 -12 88 -4 113 11C157 75 207 248 232 371L386 367L326 109C321 86 318 66 318 50C318 4 339 -12 366 -12C410 -12 461 21 505 69L492 96C467 79 434 60 418 60C406 60 400 78 411 147C422 217 439 300 457 366C487 366 524 367 536 370C547 385 558 408 574 449Z"></path></g></svg> on <span class="nowrap"><svg height="11.927pt" id="M63" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 13.1624 11.927" width="13.1624pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M610 18C585 26 567 34 540 68C517 97 499 128 476 171C452 215 425 276 413 304C496 332 570 394 570 494C570 555 545 595 509 619S419 650 364 650H139L133 622C216 615 219 612 203 527L129 132C112 40 105 36 23 28L17 0H279L285 28C199 34 194 40 211 132L239 284H284C320 284 334 275 351 236C374 182 394 140 420 93C459 23 495 -1 592 -8H600L610 18ZM480 485C480 424 449 372 403 342C374 323 338 316 293 316H245L291 562C296 589 301 601 311 608S337 618 358 618C432 618 480 575 480 485Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.086,3.132)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 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International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences

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Figure 2

Figure 2: Analysis of COVID-19 Disease Model: Backward Bifurcation and Impact of Pharmaceutical and Nonpharmaceutical Interventions 