Modelling HIV/AIDS Epidemic among Men Who Have Sex with Men in China
Figure 4
Prediction of HIV/AIDS among MSM in China from 2005 to 2020 and the uncertainties of the model. Areas from light to dark mean the 50%, 90%, 95%, and 99% predictive probability limits due to parameter uncertainties. (a) Total HIV/AIDS cases. (b) Total HIV-positive cases. (c) Total AIDS cases. (d) Total HIV/AIDS cases with antiviral therapy. Parameters and initial values used are shown in Table 2. Antiviral therapy started when CD4+ counts are less than 350 cells per .
