Abstract

As the energy conservation and emission reduction and sustainable development have become the hot topics in the world, low carbon issues catch more and more attention. Logistics, which is one of the important economic activities, plays a crucial role in the low carbon development. Logistics leads to some significant issues about consuming energy and carbon emissions. Therefore, reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions has become the inevitable trend for logistics industry. Low carbon logistics is introduced in these situations. In this paper, from the microcosmic aspects, we will bring the low carbon idea in the path optimization issues and change the amount of carbon emissions into carbon emissions cost to establish the path optimization model based on the optimization objectives of the lowest cost of carbon emissions. According to different levels of air pollution, we will establish the double objectives path optimization model with the consideration of carbon emissions cost and economy cost. Use DNA-ant colony algorithm to optimize and simulate the model. The simulation indicates that DNA-ant colony algorithm could find a more reasonable solution for low carbon logistics path optimization problems.

1. Introduction

As the energy conservation and emission reduction and sustainable development has become the hot topics in the world, low carbon issues catch more and more attention. Logistics, which is one important economic activity, plays a crucial role in the low carbon development. Logistics leads to some significant issues about consuming energy and carbon emissions. Therefore, reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions have become the inevitable trend for logistics industry. Low carbon logistics is introduced in these situations. Low carbon logistics means that the processes of logistics, based on the goals of low energy consumption, low pollution, and low emissions, use the technology of energy efficiency, renewable energy, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions to restrain the harm to environment, which would be also helpful for the purification of the logistics environment and get the full use of logistics resources. It includes logistics operation part and the whole process of low carbon logistics management [1]. Logistics operation links include logistics system works optimization, such as reasonable planning distribution path, improving logistics efficiency, reducing resources waste, and taking full use of logistics resources. Logistics management includes using all kinds of low carbon technologies to improve logistics system, which will reduce the carbon emissions in the processes of transportation.

Low carbon logistics is one frontier domain of research, which catches more and more attention of scholars. Most low carbon logistics researches are focused on the macroscopic aspects, which are the qualitative researches of low carbon logistics, including low carbon logistics itself analysis [25], low carbon logistics system analysis [68], and low carbon logistics network analysis [911]. However, there are only few researches about microscopic aspects of low carbon logistics.

In this paper, from the microcosmic aspects, we bring the low carbon idea in the path optimization issues and change the amount of carbon emissions into carbon emissions cost to establish the path optimization model based on the optimization objectives of lowest cost of carbon emissions. According to different levels of air pollution, we establish the double objectives path optimization model with the consideration of carbon emissions cost and economy cost. We will use DNA-ant colony algorithm to optimize and simulate the model. The simulation indicates that DNA-ant colony algorithm could find a more reasonable solution for low carbon logistics path optimization problems.

2. Modeling

2.1. Distribution Optimization Model of Minimum Cost of Carbon Emissions

Low carbon logistics is a kind of low energy cost and low pollution logistics whose goal is to achieve the highest efficiency of logistics with the lowest greenhouse gas emissions [12]. Relevant data shows that thermal power emission, vehicle exhaust emissions, and construction are the main sources of carbon dioxide emissions. Bearing the social goods transportation, storage, packaging, processing, distribution, loading, unloading, and other services, logistics has become the big one for the carbon emissions. Looking for the reasonable distribution route to reduce carbon emissions is particularly important. The reduction in carbon emissions model reflects the reduction of carbon emissions cost. Therefore, this paper established low carbon logistics distribution route optimization model to achieve the minimizing carbon emissions.

2.1.1. The Calculation of Cost of Carbon Emissions

As the vehicles pickup or delivery goods in the different order crossing all customers, the car load changes. With the increase of vehicle load, the unit distance fuel consumption rises, leading to the increase of carbon emissions cost [13]. With the increase of vehicle transport distance, carbon emissions cost will also increase. Thus, the cost of carbon emissions does not only has relationship with transport distance but is also related to the vehicles’ load.

The unit distance fuel consumption has a linear relationship with the total weight of the vehicles , which is where is the unit distance fuel consumption, is the relationship factor between the unit distance fuel consumption and vehicles’ weight, and is the total weight of the vehicles including vehicle loading weight and vehicle’s weight .

When vehicles are full, the unit distance fuel consumption is , which is where is the unit distance fuel consumption when vehicles are full and is the vehicles’ maximum load.

When vehicles are empty, the unit distance fuel consumption is , which is From formula (2) and formula (3), we can get Bring formula (4) into formula (1); the unit distance fuel consumption is as follows:

Thus, the carbon emissions cost of the goods with the weight from customer to customer is as follows: where is the unit carbon emissions cost, is the carbon emissions factor, is the distance from customer to customer , and is the carbon emissions of the goods with the weight from customer to customer .

2.1.2. The Calculation of Cost of Carbon Emissions

For the convenience of model establishment, assume that there is only one distribution center whose location is known. All the vehicles start from the distribution center and return to distribution center after delivery. The vehicles’ load is known. The location and the demand of customer are known. One vehicle is for one customer.

According to the above assumption, establish the minimizing carbon emissions cost model: where is the number of customers, is the number of vehicles, is the demand of the customer, is the maximum load of the vehicles, and is the vehicle’s number.

The number of distribution center is 0. The numbers of customers are . Define variables and as

Formula (7) is the objective function. The first part is the carbon emissions cost caused by the vehicle’s weight. The second part is the carbon emissions cost caused by the vehicle’s load. Formula (10) shows that the sum of customers’ demand cannot be greater than the maximum load of vehicles. Formulas (11), (12), and (13) show that one vehicle is for one customer. Formula (14) shows that vehicles start from distribution center and then return to distribution center.

2.2. Double Target Distribution Optimization Model with the Consideration of Carbon Emissions

Since the increasing pollution problems, the government considers the logistics network planning from the aspect of the whole area low carbon development to minimize the carbon emissions of the whole area. But transportation enterprises will choose the logistics lines based on the logistics network system according to their target and determine the allocation on each line. To achieve the goal of the government and the transport enterprises win-win, this paper establishes the double target distribution optimization model based on “pay attention to carbon emissions and also give consideration to economy.” The basic thought of a multiobjective optimization problem is to transfer multiobject into a numerical target evaluation function, which generally uses the linear weighted sum method [14].

Firstly, the goods are delivered to the distribution center. Then, the goods are sent to each customer by through highways, waterways, air transport, and a variety of other ways. In the whole distribution process, the situation is complicated, in which there exists not only the transformation of multiple transportation modes but also multiple layers of distribution network. In a variety of transportation modes, highway transportation is the largest one of carbon dioxide emissions. Thus, for the convenience of model establishment, only consider one level of distribution network, which is from distribution center to customer delivery and only consider the highway transportation mode.

For the convenience of model establishment, make the following assumptions.(1)Only consider the distribution center whose location is known. All the vehicles start from the distribution center. After the delivery mission, all the vehicles come back to the distribution center waiting for unified deployment.(2)The delivery goods can be mixed. Each customer’s goods will not exceed the maximum load of the vehicle.(3)The location and demand of customers are known. One vehicle is for one customer.(4)Load is known.(5)The vehicle serves for each affected point service, and on the way only discharges without loading.According to the above assumptions, establish the objective evaluation function: where ,   are the weight coefficients of the objective function, is unit vehicle cost, is unit cost of travelling distance, and is the overload punishment coefficient. Formula (15) is the objective function. The lower value the objective evaluation function has, the better the path is. Formula (16) is the evaluation function of carbon emissions. Formula (17) is the economic evaluation function including three parts. The first part is the vehicle fixed cost. The second part is the vehicle’s transportation cost. The third part is the overload punishment cost. Formulas (18) to (24) are the constraint conditions. Formula (22) shows that the mission of the demand point is accomplished by the vehicle through point . Formula (23) shows that the mission of the demand point is accomplished by the vehicle through point . The other constraint conditions are the same as the minimum carbon emissions cost distribution optimization model.

According to the degree of pollution, the air pollution index is divided into five levels: top grade, good, light pollution, moderate pollution, and high level of pollution. Top level and good level include normal activities. Light pollution includes long-term exposure to this level air, vulnerable groups’ symptoms will be slightly worse, and healthy people will have irritation symptoms. Moderate pollution includes contacting with the air after a certain period of time, symptoms of the people with heart disease and pulmonary disease significantly will increase, exercise tolerance decreases, and common symptoms happen in healthy people. In high level of pollution, healthy exercise tolerance is reduced and it has obvious symptoms and diseases. According to different level of air pollution index, the values of weight coefficients of evaluation function ,   are also different. When the air pollution degree is good, ignore the influence of the carbon emissions cost, which is ,   . When the air pollution is light pollution, first consider the economic then consider carbon emissions, which is . When the air pollution is moderately severe pollution, put the emission reduction and energy saving in the first place with carbon emissions as the first goal and economic target as the balance, which is .

3. Methods

3.1. Basic Ant Colony Algorithm

Scientists, who study social insect behavior characteristic, found that the insect at the community level of cooperation is basically self-organizing. This kind of collective behavior produced by the social organism, which is a kind of swarm intelligence, catches the eyes of many researchers in the fields of management science and engineering. Ant colony algorithm is a typical example of the use of swarm intelligence to solve combinatorial optimization problems. Ant colony algorithm as a new bionic evolutionary algorithm is published by Dorigo and Gambardella [15]. The algorithm imitates ants foraging behavior, according to the heuristic idea, which is caused by entrainment of pheromones, gradually converging to the global optimal solution of the problem. So far, the ant colony algorithm has been used to solve traveling salesman problem, quadratic assignment problem, vehicle routing problem, dynamic vehicle scheduling problem, and network routing optimization problem.

Ant colony algorithm is a kind of parallel algorithm. The searching process is not starting from a point, but from the multiple points simultaneously. The distributed parallel model greatly improves the whole operation efficiency and quick reaction capability of the algorithm, which not only increases the reliability of the algorithm but also makes the algorithm have a stronger global searching ability. Ant colony algorithm has positive feedback characteristics, which can strengthen the optimal solution of pheromones to speed up the convergence speed of the algorithm. Ant colony algorithm has robustness, whose result is not dependent on the initial route choice, and does not need manual adjustment in the process. Ant colony algorithm is easily combined with other heuristic algorithms to improve the algorithm performance. Although the ant colony algorithm has many advantages, there are still some defects such as long searching time, slow convergence speed, slow evolution, stagnation happening easily, and precocious phenomena.

Assume that there are cities. The distance between any two cities and is ( ). is the number of ants at time at city . is the total number of ants. is the pheromone at time on the line . At time , every path has the same pheromone strength. .

With time passing by, the new pheromone is added and old pheromones evaporate. is the pheromone volatilization coefficient which indicates pheromones volatile speed. When all the ants accomplish one travel, pheromone on every path is where is the pheromone increment on the path . At the beginning, . is the pheromone released by ant on the path , which is determined by the ants performance. The more the paths are, the more the pheromone is: where is constant and is the path length of the ant . The transition probability of ant from city to city is where indicates that the city collection ant can choose currently. is the taboo table of ant , which indicates the cities ant has passed by to show the memory of ants. is prior knowledge visibility. In the TSP problem, it is the heuristic information from one city moved to another city, which is generally . is the importance of the residual information on the path . is the importance of the heuristic information.

The basic ant colony algorithm to achieve the process is that ants start from one certain city at the same time to choose the next city based on Formula (28), which indicates that ants prefer visiting the path with higher intensity of pheromone. The passed cities will be put into . After all ants finish one travel, renew the pheromone on each path based on Formula (25) to Formula (27). Repeat the above processes until termination condition is established.

3.2. DNA-Ant Colony Algorithm Solution Model

The numerous studies of ant colony algorithm have shown its significance in the optimization combination problem, but there are still some shortcomings, such as seeking to local optimal solution rather than the global optimal solution and convergence lag. In particular, for the selection of basic ant colony algorithm parameters, there is no theoretical derivation but relying on the results of experiments. The selection of ant colony algorithm parameters is directly related to the effectiveness of the algorithm’s solution. If the parameter selection is improper, it will seriously affect the performance of the ant colony algorithm. DNA-ant colony algorithm controls the parameter selection by the crossover and mutation idea of DNA algorithm to optimize the performance of ant colony algorithm, which will overcome the shortcomings of ant colony algorithm to improve the convergence rate and search the global optimal solution.

DNA, the so-called deoxyribonucleic acid, is the most important biological macromolecules of organisms in the nature and the main genetic materials for all creatures. The discovery of DNA double helix structure marks the development of biological science which has entered the phase of molecular biology. DNA is a kind of high molecular compound, which is the basic unit of DNA nucleotides. Each deoxyribonucleotide is composed of a molecular phosphate, molecular DNA nucleotides, and a molecule nitrogenous base. Nitrogenous base includes adenine deoxynucleotide (A), guanine oligodeoxynucleotides (G), cytosine deoxyribonucleotide (C), and thymidine nucleotide (T). Modern molecular biology believes that DNA is the main material basis of biological inheritance which stored the genetic information. It transfers genetic information from parent to offspring by self-copy transfer and generates the RNA transcription (ribonucleic acid) to translate into specific proteins to control the phenomenon of life [1618]. DNA molecule with the double helix structure is circled by the two parallel deoxynucleotides long chain. Deoxyribose and phosphate in DNA molecule alternately link and arrange on the outer side constituting the basic skeleton. The bases on the two chains are linked together by hydrogen bonds forming base pairs. Base pairs follow the principle of complementary base pairing, namely, purines and pyrimidines matching; that is, adenine (A) and thymine (T) must be matched and guanine (G) and cytosine (C) must be matched. Although deoxyribose and phosphate arrange stably on the deoxyribonucleotide long chains, the order of base pairs is protean on the long chain. There are only four bases and two methods of four types of the four bases to form the DNA molecules, but different orders of base pairs constitute a wealth of information [19].

The crossover and mutation in DNA algorithm is different from genetic algorithm. Crossover and mutation in DNA algorithm is based on gene level with a different encoding method, which is two digits binary encoding instead of unit binary encoding. The crossover operation of DNA algorithm is based on the two-point crossover method with a certain probability , which means that a part of bases swaps randomly in the deoxyribonucleotide long chains to form new deoxyribonucleotide long chains (see Figure 11).

Transform coding method of DNA algorithm into two binary coding method can be recognized by computers, which is A-00, T-01, C-10, G-11, and 00 with 01 and 10 with 11 (see Figure 12).

Mutation of DNA algorithm is based on purine replacing purine and pyrimidine replacing pyrimidine, with A changing into G and C changing into T. Bases correspond to binary machines coding method, with 00 changing with 11, and 10 changing with 01. In the mutation, the base sequences mutation operates in a certain probability (see Figure 13).

DNA-ant colony algorithm optimizes the parameters of the basic ant colony algorithm based on the crossover and mutation ideas of DNA algorithm to solve the low carbon logistics route optimization problems. The solution processes of low carbon logistics route optimization based on DNA-ant colony algorithm is as shown in Figure 1. The pseudocode of low carbon logistics route optimization based on DNA-Ant colony algorithm is as follows.(1)The basic ant colony algorithm parameters initialization is as follows: ( is the number of iterations); ( is the vehicle load); (the pheromone on branch is 0).(2)The DNA ant colony algorithm parameters initialization is as follows: ( is the number of updating generation of DNA algorithm); ( is importance matrix of the residual information); ( is the importance matrix of the inspiring pheromone); ( is the matrix of pheromone volatilization coefficient); ( is the crossover probability of DNA algorithm); ( is the mutation probability of DNA algorithm).(3)Operate crossover and mutation of DNA algorithm are as follows:for 1 to do;repeat Steps (3)~(8);operate crossover and mutation of DNA algorithm;for 1 to do;repeat Steps (4)~(7).(4)Put ants at the distribution center. The number of distribution center 1 in the array to form the array is as follows:while ;for to do; ( is the matrix of the cities will be visited).(5) :calculate the transition probability of ants according to Formula (28); ;if ;ant goes to the next City . Choose and move to the next City and put into array ;elseant returns to distribution center and put distribution center with number 1 into array ; ;repeat Step (5) until all the cities have travelled through and then check whether is full. If not, return to Step (5). Otherwise, go on to Step (6).(6)for to do:calculate the path length to solve the objective function (the values of minimum carbon emissions cost function or the objective evaluation function) and record the current best solution. Update the pheromone based on the formula (25).(7) if : and then clean up and return to Step (4).(8) Choose the better as the parent DNA to operate the crossover and mutation. Get the new parameter matrices, and return to Step (3).

4. Results and Discussion

Assume the distribution center has 16 customers whose coordinate is (0,0). Table 1 is the demand of each customer. Table 2 is the coordinate of each customer. The maximum load of each vehicle is 75 tons. In the simulation, set ,   . The unit distance fuel cost of empty car and full car is and . The unit carbon emissions cost is . The emission factor is [20]. The distances between each customer and distribution center can be calculated by Formula (30):

Table 3 shows the 10 results by using the basic ant colony algorithm to solve the minimum carbon emissions cost model. Table 4 shows the 10 results by using the DNA-ant colony algorithm to solve the minimum carbon emissions cost model. Comparing Table 3 with Table 4 we can find the following.(1)Carbon emissions cost: the minimum carbon emissions cost of basic ant colony algorithm is 426.5, and the cost of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 398.8. The DNA-ant colony algorithm saves 6.4% of minimum carbon emissions cost compared with basic ant colony algorithm. The average carbon emissions cost of basic ant colony algorithm is 546.2. The average cost of DNA-Ant colony algorithm is 470.34. For the average carbon emissions cost, the DNA-ant colony algorithm saves 13.8% compared with basic ant colony algorithm. Thus, for the solution of minimum carbon emissions cost distribution model, DNA-ant colony algorithm can find the path with less carbon emissions cost, which is better for environmental protection.(2)The number of final generation: the average number of final generation of basic ant colony algorithm is 133.7. The average number of final generation of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 81. From the average number of final generation, we can find that the DNA-ant colony algorithm has a better convergence.(3)The difference with minimum carbon emissions cost: the average difference between basic ant colony algorithm and minimum carbon emissions cost is 119.7. The average difference between DNA-ant colony algorithm and minimum carbon emissions cost is 71.54. From the difference with minimum carbon emissions cost, we can find that the DNA-Ant colony algorithm is more stable in the process of search minimum carbon emissions.Figure 2 is the distribution path of basic ant colony based on the minimum carbon emissions cost model. The processes are as follows: Distribution Center Customer13 Customer10 Customer11 Distribution Center;Distribution Center Customer1 Customer16 Customer3 Customer2 Customer14 Distribution Center;Distribution Center Customer9 Customer8 Customer5 Customer15 Distribution Center;Distribution Center Customer6 Customer7 Customer4 Customer12 Distribution Center.

Figure 3 is the distribution path of DNA-Ant colony based on the minimum carbon emissions cost model. The processes are as follows:Distribution Center Customer10 Customer11 Customer13 Distribution Center;Distribution Center Customer6 Customer7 Customer4 Customer12 Distribution Center;Distribution Center Customer8 Customer14 Customer5 Customer15 Distribution Center;Distribution Center Customer1 Customer16 Customer3 Customer2 Customer9 Distribution Center.

Figure 4 is the optimization curves of minimum carbon emissions cost. From the figure, we can find that DNA-Ant colony algorithm has a better effectiveness in the process of searching minimum carbon emissions cost. Comparing with basic ant colony algorithm, we can find the lower carbon emissions cost with a faster convergence speed.

When the air pollution level is good level, vehicles are only considered the distribution cost, and the carbon emissions cost is ignored, which means that ,   . At this time, the minimum value of objective function is the minimum value of distribution cost.

Table 5 shows the 10 results by using the basic ant colony algorithm to solve the double targets distribution optimization model under the top or good air pollution level condition. Table 6 shows the 10 results by using the DNA-ant colony algorithm to solve the double targets distribution optimization model under the top or good air pollution level condition. Comparing Table 5 with Table 6 we can find the following.(1)Distribution cost: the minimum distribution cost of basic ant colony algorithm is 400.7 and the cost of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 398. The DNA-ant colony algorithm saves 0.67% of minimum distribution cost comparing with basic ant colony algorithm. The average distribution cost of basic ant colony algorithm is 405.04. The average cost of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 400.33. For the average distribution cost, the DNA-ant colony algorithm saves 1.16% compared with basic ant colony algorithm. Thus, for the good air pollution level, DNA-ant colony algorithm can find the path with less distribution cost compared with basic ant colony algorithm.(2)The number of final generation: the average number of final generation of basic ant colony algorithm is 111.3. The average number of final generation of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 53.6. From the average number of final generation, we can find the DNA-ant colony algorithm has a better convergence speed.(3)The difference with minimum values: the average difference between basic ant colony algorithm and minimum values is 4.34. The average difference between DNA-ant colony algorithm and minimum values is 2.33. From the difference with minimum values, we can find that the DNA-ant colony algorithm is more stable in the process of search the best solution.

Figure 5 is the distribution path figure of basic ant colony algorithm, which is shown in Table 7. Figure 6 is the distribution path figure of DNA-Ant colony algorithm, which is shown in Table 8.

Figure 7 is the distribution cost optimization curves comparing the figure of the two algorithms. From the simulation, we can find that DNA-ant colony algorithm performances is more effective on the solution issue, which can save more distribution cost with a faster convergence speed.

Assume that the air pollution level is moderate or high level pollution; set ,   . Table 9 shows the 10 results by using the basic ant colony algorithm to solve the double targets distribution optimization model under the moderate or high level pollution condition. Table 10 shows the 10 results by using the DNA-ant colony algorithm to solve the double targets distribution optimization model under the moderate or high level pollution condition. Comparing Table 9 with Table 10 we can find the following.(1)Objective evaluation function value: the minimum objective evaluation function value of basic ant colony algorithm is 417.5 and the cost of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 402.6. The DNA-ant colony algorithm saves 3.5% of minimum objective evaluation function value compared with basic ant colony algorithm. The average objective evaluation function value of basic ant colony algorithm is 431.22. The average cost of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 414.09. For the average objective evaluation function value, the DNA-ant colony algorithm saves 3.97% compared with basic ant colony algorithm. Thus, for the moderate or high level pollution, DNA-ant colony algorithm can find the path with less objective evaluation function value to find the more effective distribution paths and reduce air pollution and distribution cost.(2)The number of final generation: the average number of final generation of basic ant colony algorithm is 163.3. The average number of final generation of DNA-ant colony algorithm is 86.9. From the average number of final generation, we can find that the DNA-ant colony algorithm has a better convergence speed.(3)The difference with minimum values: the average difference between basic ant colony algorithm and minimum values is 13.72. The average difference between DNA-ant colony algorithm and minimum values is 11.49. From the difference with minimum values, we can find that the DNA-ant colony algorithm is more stable in the process of search the best solution.

Figure 8 is the distribution path of basic ant colony under moderate or high level pollution condition. The processes are as follows:Vehicle 1: Distribution Center Customer13 Customer11 Customer10 Distribution Center;Vehicle 2: Distribution Center Customer9 Customer8 Customer5 Customer15 Distribution Center;Vehicle 3: Distribution Center Customer16 Customer3 Customer4 Customer2 Customer14 Distribution Center;Vehicle 4: Distribution Center Customer1 Customer12 Customer6 Customer7 Distribution Center.

Figure 9 is the distribution path of DNA-ant colony under moderate or high level pollution condition. The processes are as follows:Vehicle 1: Distribution Center Customer1 Customer16 Customer3 Customer2 Customer14 Distribution Center;Vehicle 2: Distribution Center Customer13 Customer15 Customer5 Customer8 Distribution Center;Vehicle 3: Distribution Center Customer12 Customer4 Customer7 Customer6 Customer10 Customer11 Distribution Center;Vehicle 4: Distribution Center Customer9 Distribution Center.

Figure 10 is the optimization curve of objective evaluation function best value. From the figure, we can find that, under the moderate or high level pollution condition, DNA-ant colony algorithm can find the lower objective evaluation function value to get a faster convergence speed than the basic ant colony algorithm.

5. Conclusions

In this paper, starting from the actual requirements of low carbon logistics, microscopic quantitative analysis was used for low carbon logistics. The minimum cost of carbon emissions model and the double target distribution optimization model with considering the cost of carbon emissions were established to find the reasonable distribution routes to achieve energy conservation and emissions reduction based on the solution of DNA-ant colony algorithm. According to the simulation of MATLAB, DNA-ant colony algorithm had a better effectiveness than the basic ant colony algorithm on the issue of low carbon logistics distribution route optimization. But this is the preliminary research on the low carbon logistics distribution route optimization problem. It is the exploration stage for low carbon logistics distribution route optimization model. The models are established based on the ideal situation without consideration of many complex factors and real situations in the constraints of the models. In future study, there is a to optimize the model to make the model more accord with the actual needs.

Conflict of Interests

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interests regarding the publication of this paper.

Acknowledgment

This work was supported by Soft Science Research Project in Shanxi Province (no. 2010041077-3).