The Czech Republic SimSmoke: The Effect of Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking Attributable Deaths in the Czech Republic
Table 2
(a) SimSmoke projections of male smoking prevalence for ages 15 and older, Czech Republic, 2010–2040. (b) SimSmoke projections of female smoking prevalence for ages 15 and older, Czech Republic, 2010–2040.
(a)
Policy/year
2010
2011
2020
2030
2040
Status quo policies
34.6%
34.4%
32.4%
29.9%
27.5%
Policies implemented in 2011
Tax at 70% of retail price
34.6%
32.7%
30.3%
27.4%
24.7%
Complete smoke free and enforcement
34.6%
32.1%
30.1%
27.5%
25.1%
Comprehensive Ad Ban and Enforcement
34.6%
33.6%
31.6%
29.0%
26.5%
High Intensity Tobacco Control Campaign
34.6%
32.5%
30.4%
27.8%
25.4%
Strong health warnings
34.6%
34.3%
32.3%
29.6%
27.2%
Strong youth access enforcement
34.6%
34.2%
31.5%
28.2%
25.3%
Cessation treatment policies
34.6%
33.6%
31.0%
28.2%
25.7%
All of the above
34.6%
26.9%
23.1%
19.4%
16.4%
% Change in smoking prevalence from status quo
Tax at 70% of retail price
Complete smoke free and enforcement
Comprehensive Ad ban and enforcement
High intensity tobacco control campaign
Strong health warnings
Strong youth access enforcement
Cessation treatment policies
Combined policy effects
All of the above
*Measured relative to the status quo in the same year, that is, ()/, where is the smoking rate in year with policy and is the smoking rate in year under the status quo.
(b)
Policy/year
2010
2011
2020
2030
2040
Status quo policies
23.1%
23.2%
22.7%
21.4%
19.8%
Independent policies implemented in 2011
Tax at 70% of retail price
23.1%
22.1%
21.4%
19.8%
18.0%
Complete smoke free and enforcement
23.1%
21.6%
21.1%
19.7%
18.1%
Comprehensive Ad ban and enforcement
23.1%
22.6%
22.1%
20.7%
19.1%
High intensity tobacco control campaign
23.1%
21.9%
21.3%
19.9%
18.3%
Strong health warnings
23.1%
23.1%
22.6%
21.2%
19.5%
Strong youth access enforcement
23.1%
23.1%
22.2%
20.4%
18.5%
Cessation treatment policies
23.1%
22.6%
21.7%
20.1%
18.4%
All of the above
23.1%
18.2%
16.3%
14.2%
12.2%
% Change in smoking prevalence from status quo
Independent policy effects
Tax at 70% of retail price
Complete smoke free and enforcement
Comprehensive Ad ban and enforcement
High intensity tobacco control campaign
Strong health warnings
Strong youth access enforcement
Cessation treatment policies
Combined policy effects
All of the above
*Measured relative to the status quo in the same year, that is, ()/, where is the smoking rate in year with policy and is the smoking rate in year under the status quo.